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Innovation Watch Newsletter 4.25
December 10, 2005

ISSN: 1712-9834


In this issue...


Highlights this week: uncovering new mysteries in the cell; creating technology that imitates life; the next wave of offshoring; the rising cost of natural disasters; early warnings of unrest in France; signs of growing American disinterest in the world; and climate change tipping points. Kevin Kelly writes about the Machine.

Cellular programming...

Scientists at the University of Utah have shown that Planarian worms lose their ability to regenerate amputated parts when the smedwi-2 gene is silenced in their adult stem cells. Daughter cells are unable to differentiate into cells that repair the amputation in the absence of this gene. The precise mechanism for the gene's effect still remains unknown; however, the results are intriguing. Plants, animals and humans all have genes that are similar to smedwi-2.

Imitating life...

Israeli physicists have designed a small robot that may swim more efficiently -- and faster -- than biological organisms. Such nanoscale robots could swim inside the spine, heart or lungs to capture images or deliver drugs. Researcher Joseph Avron of the Technion-Israel Institute of Technology says, "We are also studying swimmers that are so small that quantum mechanics effects become relevant."

Researchers at the University of Berkeley are designing artificial vision systems using ideas borrowed from nature. MSNBC reports that there are at least ten animal vision systems, each of which has evolved in different circumstances and with different capabilities. While researchers have developed artificial lenses and are working on synthetic retinas, they have not yet been able to develop a fully functioning artificial eye.

The next wave...

Business Standard reports that corporations are now starting to outsource IT infrastructure management. It says data centers, networks, servers, storage and desktop computers will increasingly be managed from offshore. The global market for infrastructure management services has been estimated at between $86 billion and $150 billion, 60 percent of which may be managed remotely. India is expected to gain a large market share.

In harm's way...

GeoTimes says the U.S. federal government is paying more for natural disasters. As the insurer of last resort, it has seen costs triple as a percentage of GDP in the last forty years -- excluding recent costs for Hurricane Katrina. Less than 1 percent of declared disasters -- hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, and floods -- account for most of these costs. Paradoxically, the journal says, mitigation measures against disaster may encourage greater settlement in high-risk areas, placing "more people and infrastructure in harm's way," and ultimately incurring higher damages.

Early warning...

The International Herald Tribune says movies and music foreshadowed recent riots in France -- depicting the desperation of immigrant youths in the Paris suburbs or banlieues. Mathieu Kassovitz's film, "La Haine," or "Hate," made a decade ago, was the first of many films that have come to be known as "banlieue movies" -- portraying life in the public housing projects. Years ago, rap groups had already voiced the anger that burst forth suddenly last month in violence and burning cars. As early as 1991, the newspaper says, the group NTM rapped: "Go visit the banlieues/ Look at young people in their eyes/ You who command from on high/ My appeal is serious, don't take it as a game/ Young people are changing, that's what is worrying."

Zoning out...

Yale Global says Americans are turning away from the rest of the world. The percentage of U.S. university students studying a second language has fallen from 16 percent in 1965 to 8.6 percent today. The percentage of foreign news stories on the front page of American newspapers declined from 27 percent in 1987 to 21 percent in 2003. Television coverage of foreign news was halved in the 1990s. This shouldn't be a surprise, the journal says. "Because since the days of ancient Rome, it is an axiom of political science that economic well-being dulls the appetite of citizens to participate in civil affairs."

Tipping points...

More scientists are speculating on the possibility of sudden changes in Earth systems, triggered by global warming. There is a genuine risk, they say, of tipping points that produce a change of state on the planetary scale. Like runaway melting of the Greenland ice sheet that raises sea levels by more than 20 feet and disrupts the Gulf Stream. "The concern," says Tim Lenton, an earth systems modeller ar the University of East Anglia, "is that there are tipping points out there that could be passed before we're halfway through the century."

The Machine...

The Internet, Kevin Kelly says, is a megacomputer. A "distributed chip" based on a billion active PCs. And it's doubling in size every few years. "Since each of its 'transistors' is itself a personal computer with a billion transistors running lower functions," he says, "the Machine is fractal." We will become more and more dependent on this megacomputer for knowing, for remembering -- for our identity. It is nothing less, Kelly says, than a "global field" of intelligence, "a collaborative interface for our civilisation."

David Forrest


we welcome your comments and feedback at mail@innovationwatch.com


SCIENCE

That's the Way the Spaghetti Crumbles - [Science News] Great scientists sometimes do silly experiments. The renowned physicist and Nobel prize winner Richard P. Feynman, for instance, once got it into his head to figure out why uncooked spaghetti doesn't snap neatly in two when you bend it far enough to break. Pay attention next time, and you'll notice that the pasta tends to shatter into three or more fragments of unequal lengths.

Space Food of the Future - [CNN] During the six- to eight-month trip to Mars, space travelers will grow lettuce, spinach, carrots, tomatoes, green onions, radishes, bell peppers, strawberries, herbs and cabbage aboard their spacecraft.

Gene Swapping Helps Bacteria Adapt - [Scientific American] Bacteria, like all organisms, have to make a living in an ever changing world. They face shifting climates, varying food supplies and--horror of horrors--antibiotics. How do they adapt? According to the results of a new study, simply by copying the successful innovations of their relatives.

Scoping Out the Planet - [Scientific American] EarthScope will measure the movement and deformation of the earth below the contiguous U.S. and Alaska with a level of detail and data accessibility never seen in geophysics. The hope is that a clearer understanding of the forces that shape the environment will translate into better assessment of earthquake and volcanic hazards and more precise knowledge of the country's natural resources.

Japan Probe Lands on Asteroid - [ABC News] A Japanese space probe made history when it landed on the surface of an asteroid and then collected rock samples that could give clues to the origin of the solar system.

Normal Chromosome Ends Elicit A Limited DNA Damage Response - [Science Daily] Researchers at the Salk Institute for Biological Studies discovered that cells co-opted the machinery that usually repairs broken strands of DNA to protect the integrity of chromosomes. This finding solves for the first time an important question that has long puzzled scientists.

Silenced Gene in Worm Shows Role in Regeneration - [Innovations Report] Researchers at the University of Utah have discovered that when a gene called smedwi-2 is silenced in the adult stem cells of planarians, the quarter-inch long worm is unable to carry out a biological process that has mystified scientists for centuries: regeneration.


TECHNOLOGY

Finding Fat Before Heart Attacks - [Wired] Biomedical engineer Shelton Caruthers and his team at Washington University in St. Louis are using nanoparticles to detect arterial obstructions before they can cause serious damage.

Chaos-Encrypted Information Goes the Distance - [Science News] On any given day, millions of e-commerce transactions send credit card and bank-account numbers zipping across the globe. To keep the bits of information private, companies such as PayPal use encryption software that employs mathematically intense algorithms. In a more advanced tactic, researchers now report sending a message embedded in light and masked by a wildly fluctuating laser beam. The message successfully traversed a commercial optical-fiber network.

Living Camera Uses Bacteria to Capture Image - [New Scientist] A dense bed of light-sensitive bacteria has been developed as a unique kind of photographic film. Although it takes 4 hours to take a picture and only works in red light, it also delivers extremely high resolution.

Animal Eyes Inspire New Technology - [MSNBC] When nanotech researcher Luke Lee is looking for inspiration for the next generation of optical gadgets, he ponders the lobster. And the house fly. And the octopus.

Has Time Expired for Coin-Operated Meters? - [MSNBC] Using cell phones, wireless, IBM takes aim at $26 billion parking industry.

Tiny Swimmer Makes a Splash - [Physics Web] Physicists in Israel have designed a tiny swimming robot that could help to answer fundamental questions in biology and may also have applications in medical nanotechnology.

Professor In Your Pocket - [MSNBC] Now course casting lets college students skip classes and download lectures onto their iPods. Biology rocks! But some parents just don't understand.


BUSINESS AND ECONOMY

Avian Flu: Business Thinks The Unthinkable - [Business Week] Executives are starting to confront the real chance of panicked workers, supply disruptions, and economic upheaval.

Random House: Digital is Our Destiny - [Business Week] Unwilling to let a Google, Yahoo!, or Microsoft dictate terms in cyberspace, Random House Inc., the world's largest trade publisher, is taking the industry lead. In early November it outlined ways it would begin to offer its books directly to consumers on a page-per-view basis.

Learning to Manage Complexity - [HBS Working Knowledge] It turns out that complexity causes businesses to change in fundamental ways. There are businesses that grow to billions of dollars of revenues before this problem hits. These companies have a fairly simple, controllable business model, and they can pump more and more business through it. But when they begin opening multiple factories or distribution centers, or sourcing abroad, all of a sudden the world changes. Most often, their internal systems and customary way of managing have to change completely. Their managers don't know what hit them.

Google Tool Maps Out Shopping Trips - [CNN] Joining the herd of Web sites jostling to cash in on the holiday shopping season, online search engine leader Google Inc. is adding a tool designed to make it easier for consumers to map out their local trips to the mall. The feature, unveiled Tuesday at Google's Froogle shopping site, pinpoints merchants selling a specific item within a designated ZIP code.

A Long-Distance Relationship - [Business Standard] After software, call centres and business processes, it’s now the turn of IT departments to be offshored to India. That’s right, IT departments. The IT infrastructure -- everything from data centres, networks, servers and storage to desktops -- of a number of the world’s top corporations are now being “remotely” managed from India.

Making Credibility Your Strongest Asset - [HBS Working Knowledge] What happens when lots of other people are selling what you've got, or many others are bidding for what you want? One solution to distinguishing yourself in competitive environments is to build your bargaining endowment -- storing up credibility and resources by developing relationships, burnishing your reputation, and controlling key assets.

Has This Man Found the Next Gusher? - [TIME] Gene Van Dyke is now the largest deepwater license holder in Africa, with 20 million acres under license, an area equivalent to 70% of the Gulf of Mexico's deepwater fields. He believes that the region could hold as much as 100 billion bbl., equal to the reserves of such oil powers as Iran or Kuwait.


SOCIETY

The Increasing Costs of U.S. Natural Disasters - [Geotimes] The U.S. government, as the insurer of last resort, is becoming increasingly vulnerable to the costs of natural disasters through disaster declarations and spending by the Federal Emergency Management Agency. The number of presidential disaster declarations has generally increased over the last half century, since the federal government has assumed continuous responsibility for disaster aid. The federal government’s costs for natural disasters are increasing both in terms of the federal budget and the gross domestic product.

High-Tech Child's Play - [Christian Science Monitor] When it comes to technology, young children are a marketer's least discerning demographic - they are largely uninterested in bandwidth, megapixels, or thread counts. But this Christmas, tech-peddlers are turning their gaze toward kids, with new lines of grown-up gadgets built for tiny hands.

Entr'acte: If Only French Leaders Listened to Pop Culture - [International Herald Tribune] So life often imitates art. Yet with the recent uprisings in some French immigrant neighborhoods, this cliché came with a new twist: art in the form of movies and rap music has long been warning that French-born Arab and black youths felt increasingly alienated from French society, that their banlieues were ripe for explosion.

Crackdown Urged on Web Exam Plagiarism - [The Guardian] Exam papers should be scanned by specialist computer software as part of a crackdown on internet plagiarism by A-level and GSCE pupils in their compulsory coursework, the government's watchdog will urge today.

Cyborg City - [The Guardian] William J. Mitchell is the world's leading guru of how city life has changed in the age of wireless communication, and author of the rather cultish book Me++: The Cyborg Self and the Networked City. He hails from Sydney, Australia, but is now a professor at MIT's super-futuristic Media Lab in Massachusetts, where the technologies of the near future are given a test-run by some of the brightest minds in academe.

Painful Truth of the Call Centre Cyber Coolies - [Yale Global] Graduates burnt-out by dreary work, unsocial hours and Big Brother-style observation -- all at the end of your telephone.

Thrift Hero Bridges Generations in China - [Pacific News Service] As China's economy skyrockets, a new generation of privileged children have left the frugality of their parents' time far behind.


GLOBAL POLITICS

Moral Stakes of Exiting Iraq - [Christian Science Monitor] As the war debate increasingly turns to withdrawal, all sides cite moral obligations.

Iran’s Nuclear Balancing Act - [The Globalist] Though determined to acquire nuclear weapons capability, Iran is still years away from putting all the pieces together. The MacArthur Foundation’s Gary Samore explores what can be done diplomatically in the intervening years to try and ward off any large-scale confrontation -- and keep Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapons capability.

US More Cautious than Wary as China's Reach Grows - [Christian Science Monitor] Guam has been a sleepy supply depot for decades. But it is now becoming known as the "tip of the spear" of US Pacific forces.

Asia’s Polite Reception To Bush Masks Declining US Influence - [Yale Global] Plans are afoot, spearheaded by China, to forge an East Asian Community of free trade partners, akin to that of Europe. With China’s booming economic might and international prestige growing by the day, the US has seen its own importance as a key importer of Asian goods dwindle in the face of burgeoning East Asian cooperation and trade.

Americans are Tuning Out the World - [Yale Global] As the world becomes accustomed to the American way of life, Americans are tuning out the rest of the world. US citizens have paid less and less attention to foreign affairs since the 1970s, writes journalist Alkman Granitsas. The number of university students studying foreign languages has declined, and fewer Americans travel overseas than their counterparts in other developed countries. News coverage of foreign affairs has also decreased.

Pacifist Japan Moves to Create a Stronger Military Presence - [Boston Globe] The ruling Liberal Democratic Party formally unveiled a revised draft of Japan's pacifist constitution yesterday that would allow the country to have an official military for the first time since World War II and give the armed forces a more assertive international role.

Bush Faces Dual Challenges on Iraq - [Washington Post] As he leads a fierce campaign to rebut criticism of the Iraq war, President Bush faces twin challenges -- one of them rooted in history, the other in the political realities of the moment.


ENVIRONMENT

California Settles on Clean Coal Future - [MSNBC] California energy regulators have approved new standards that embrace what’s known as clean coal and preclude importing electricity from conventional coal-burning power plants.

Can 'Tipping Points' Accelerate Global Warming? - [RedOrbit] Many scientists say there are real risks of "tipping points" -- sudden, catastrophic changes triggered by human activities blamed for warming the planet.

DDT Suspected in Male Fish with Female Parts - [MSNBC] Researchers have found male fish with eggs in their testes and female sex traits off the coast of Southern California and believe that DDT may be the cause, according to a co-author of two recent studies.

Global Warming May Increase Water Losses - [ESPN] Climate change experts led by Tim Barnett at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, Calif., found that at least one-sixth of the world's population, including much of the industrial world and a quarter of global economic output, appeared vulnerable to water shortages brought about by climate change.

Core Evidence That Humans Affect Climate Change - [Los Angeles Times] An ice core about two miles long -- the oldest frozen sample ever drilled from the underbelly of Antarctica --shows that at no time in the last 650,000 years have levels of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane been as high as they are today.

Chemical Spill in Chinese River May Pose Cancer Risk - [New Scientist] Exposure to benzene and nitrobenzene from a toxic chemical spill into a river in China could put people at risk of cancer and bone marrow problems, an expert warns.

Cotton Strangles the Aral Sea - [The Globalist] If waters and lakes continue to dry up in Asia, countries like Uzbekistan will be confronted with a serious shortage of useable freshwater -- a grave problem because they rely on the quickly shrinking Aral Sea to irrigate their cash crops.


THE FUTURE

Unto Us the Machine is Born - [Sydney Morning Herald] By 2015 the internet as we know it will be dead, killed by a globe-spanning artificial consciousness, writes founding Wired editor Kevin Kelly.


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