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Innovation Watch Newsletter 4.24
November 26, 2005

ISSN: 1712-9834


In this issue...


While technological progress seems to be inevitable, other forces will also shape our future. In addition to highlighting technology and social trends this week, we focus on vulnerability -- unexpected consequences of genetic modification, the emerging global labor market, displaced millions, and the chemical spill in China.

Unexpected consequences...

When Australian researchers transferred a naturally occurring gene for a protein causing pest resistance from the common bean to the pea, the resulting pea plants were highly resistant to pea weavils. But the project had unexpected consequences. New Scientist reports that the protein structure expressed in the pea was subtly different, causing allergic lung damage in mice. Lead scientist Paul Foster of the Australian National University in Canberra thinks this may be the first time a GM food has produced an allergic reaction in mice. Foster cautions that all new GM foods should be evaluated for potential health effects.

Sky's the limit...

NASA is offering big prizes for new ideas. The "space-elevator games" -- a recent competition to design an elevator from Earth to space -- attracted teams from industry and universities to vie for a pair of $50,000 prizes. One prize was offered for speed in climbing a 16 story tether, the other for tether strength. While the first prize was not awarded, NASA says there were significant breakthroughs. The second prize was awarded to a tether weighing less than a penny that can withstand a 1,700-pound force. Prize events tend to attract unconventional participants. Brant Sponberg, manager of the NASA program, says winners often come out of right field.

The tipping point...

With the onslaught of global competition, Fortune magazine asks, "Can Americans compete?" It says Americans will have to adapt to prevent the United States from becoming a poorer, rather than a richer country. Companies like Coca-Cola, Procter & Gamble, and Texas Instruments do most of their business and employ more workers in other nations. Many American brands are owned by non-U.S. companies. And many American companies now manufacture their products outside of the United States. American workers are increasingly exposed to global labor competition. How should the U.S. deal with this challenge? Fortune explores the issues and offers some answers. But it says there are no guarantees.

Domestic partnering...

The Middletown Journal says that while only 9 percent of adults in the United States were single and living alone fifty years ago, 44 percent of adults today have never been married. Some 11 million US households now have unmarried partners -- a tenfold increase since the 1960s -- and nearly a quarter of unmarried women live with partners. For those who do choose to marry, the divorce rate is 60 percent.

Homeless in their own country...

The Population Reference Bureau says that at least 25 million people in 40 countries have been displaced by conflict or environmental disasters -- including six million in Sudan; two million in the Democratic Republic of Congo; one million in Iraq; and a million in the United States in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. While the world has found ways to help refugees, there are few programs to assist internally displaced persons, who are often left vulnerable and unprotected in their own country.

Chemical jeopardy...

Lester Brown, president of the Earth Policy Institute, says pollution of the Songhua river with benzene may well be China's equivalent of Hurricane Katrina. Levels of the carcinogenic chemical were measured at more than 100 times national safety levels 130 km upstream from Harbin, a city of approximately four million people. Government officials cut off water supplies, and anticipated that the city could be without water for four days. Other major centers in China also depend on the Songhua river for their water.

David Forrest


we welcome your comments and feedback at mail@innovationwatch.com


SCIENCE

Technique Offers New View of Dynamic Biological Landscape - [Science Daily] A new technique for analyzing the network of genetic interactions promises to change how researchers study the dynamic biological landscape of the cell.

Scientists Discover Secret Behind Human Red Blood Cell's Amazing Flexibility - [Science Daily] Ateam of UCSD researchers describe a mathematical model that explains how a mesh-like protein skeleton gives a healthy human red blood cell both its rubbery ability to stretch without breaking, and a potential mechanism to facilitate diffusion of oxygen across its membrane.

Gigantic Apes Coexisted with Early Humans, Study Finds - [Live Science] A gigantic ape standing 10 feet tall and weighing up to 1,200 pounds lived alongside humans for over a million years, according to a new study.

Timid as a Mouse? Not These Genetically Altered Rodents - [NewsFactor] These mice know no fear -- well, at least not much, anyway. Born without a gene that controls their ability to react with appropriate fear to impending danger, the mutants become rodent daredevils, according to a new study.

GM Pea Causes Allergic Damage in Mice - [New Scientist] A decade-long project to develop genetically modified peas with built-in pest-resistance has been abandoned after tests showed they caused allergic lung damage in mice.

Laser Activates Gene Therapy in Rats’ Eyes - [New Scientist] Laser light has been used to remotely control gene therapy in rats. This mechanism will help make gene therapy more effective by allowing the precise time and location at which new genes are activated to be controlled, meaning specific tissues can be targeted while healthy tissues are left alone.

Womb Needed For Proper Brain Development - [Science Daily] The brains of babies born very prematurely do not develop as well as those who are carried to full-term, according to new research presented at the annual meeting of the Society for Neuroscience in Washington, D.C.


TECHNOLOGY

Futurists Pick Top Tech Trends - [Wired] In an age of rapid-fire change, contemplating the future is downright headache-inducing. Investors who plan strategies over multiple years or decades recognize that today's must-have technologies are probably destined for tomorrow's waste bins. But there's no scientific method for identifying their replacements.

Satellite Dish Rules Update Will Speed Broadband - [silicon.com] New planning regulations will allow householders to use a wider range of antennas and satellite dishes to access digital and broadband services.

'Robocops' Patrolling Streets of Brussels - [Channel 4 News] Belgium's latest addition to the fight against crime is a robot featuring a camera which alerts police if it sees anything suspicious. Robowatch patrols the streets of Brussels 24 hours a day and allows officer to talk to anyone present through a special microphone on its head.

Going Mobile with Personal Navigation - [PC Magazine] Gone are the maps of yesterday and in their place are e-mapping Web sites and cars with integrated GPS (Global Positioning Systems). Many tech companies are taking note of the emerging trend and have begun to roll out customizable software and products for navigating on the go.

MIT Speeds Up Robotic Muscles - [News-Medical.net] Currently, robotic muscles move 100 times slower than ours. But engineers using a new theory could boost those speeds -- making robotic muscles 1,000 times faster than human muscles -- with virtually no extra energy demands and the added bonus of a simpler design.

Space-Elevator Contests Lure With Big Money, NASA Glory - [National Geographic] In the space-technology race, NASA is welcoming some dark horse candidates. The space agency's prize competitions inspire enthusiastic entrants from around the U.S. -- most recently in a contest to design an elevator from Earth to space.

Library of Congress Plans World Digital Library - [MSNBC] The U.S. Library of Congress is kicking off a campaign to work with other nation’s libraries to build a World Digital Library, starting with a $3 million donation from Google Inc.


BUSINESS AND ECONOMY

Innovation as a Team Sport - [Business Week] Tom Kelley begins by breaking down the process of innovation and debunking the notion that it is somehow magical and the stuff of individual genius. "Innovation is a team sport," he says, then proceeds to lay out the 10 personas, or types of people, who bring their talents to a winning team.

R&D Going Global - [E-Commerce News] "New advancements in R&D are changing the environment," a spokesman for Herndon, Va.-based Apptix said. "This trend is not only changing the way that American companies are doing business, but also changing the lives of employees in India, who are faced with collaboration with their westernized counterparts."

'India is an Agent of Change' - [rediff.com] Infosys and its Indian brethren are rewriting the rules of global competition in the software and tech-services industries with their use of highly skilled but low-cost Indian talent.

Is America the World's 97-lb. Weakling? - [Fortune] In the relentless, global, tech-driven, cost-cutting struggle for business, America isn’t ready -- here’s what to do about it.

Internet Entrepreneur to Take on Traditional Journalism - [New Zealand Herald] The American internet entrepreneur who has single-handedly siphoned tens of millions of advertising dollars from newspapers in the United States by creating a wildly popular online alternative for classified listings warned this week that he intends to launch a similar challenge to the relevance of traditional journalism.

The Hazards of Imitating Excellence - [The Conference Board] In a 2001 paper pointedly titled "In Search of Excellence: Fads, Success Stories, and Adaptive Emulation," two Cornell University researchers remind us that our natural urge to shun failure and imitate success can also be hazardous. They blame a chronic fascination with business success stories for the tendency of corporate management theories to rise and fall in wildly faddish (not to say foolish) cycles.

Masters of Their Domains - [Business 2.0] They call themselves domainers. They make their living buying and selling domain names and turning their Web traffic into cash -- lots of it. They have gathered in Delray Beach for a trade show called Traffic that this year boasts 300 paying attendees.


SOCIETY

Trend Watcher Reports Moral Transformation - [Arizona Republic] It's a turbulent time in the world of business. Prestigious firms are under scrutiny for their practices, and corporate highfliers are going to court and sometimes to jail. Yet it's a time when people are seeking ways to incorporate spiritual practices and moral values into their workaday lives.

Society And Marriage – What Are Global Changes? - [Innovations Report] Specialists of the Institute of Comprehensive Social Studies (Modern University for the Humanities) have carried out detailed analysis of changes in the matrimonial relations structure in the world since 1950 to 2000.

Has Marriage Lost its Luster? - [Middletown Journal] Conservative social scientists reference grim statistics to project the moral decay of the American way of life. They call for stricter divorce laws and constitutional amendments limiting marriage to heterosexual couples. Others argue the relational freedom that sprang from the sexual revolution and women's movements of the 1960s and '70s transformed an institution traditionally driven by economics and obligation into one defined by fulfillment and friendship.

Don't Trust Anyone Over ... 90? - [Tucson Citizen] take a moment to journey forward to 2046, when 79 million baby boomers will be 82 to 100 years old. Thanks to lifestyle habits and medical advances, they probably will be the healthiest group of elderly in history. Thanks to extended employment spans, they will be the wealthiest. Thanks to their huge voting bloc, they will be the most powerful. So just what kind of America will be forged by this crowd of geriatric goliaths?

Benched Science - [Science News] Increasingly, judges decide what science -- if any -- a jury hears

How Global will the English Language Remain? - [Yemen Observer] While he hails the growth of a multi-lingual Internet, David Crystal makes a strong plea for the documentation and revitalization of the minority languages. The key language theme for the 21st century, in his view, is the maintenance of language ecology by any means.

IRS Audits Church for Anti-War Sermon - [OMB Watch]
The pastor of All Saints Episcopal Church in Pasadena, CA announced that the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) is conducting a formal examination of the church's tax-exempt status, due to an anti-war, anti-poverty sermon delivered two days before the 2004 presidential election. Conservative and liberal religious organizations alike have criticized the IRS action, which they see as further evidence of an emerging trend -- beginning with last year's audit of the NAACP -- to treat criticism of incumbents on issues as partisan electoral activity.


GLOBAL POLITICS

Iranians Admit Receiving Nuclear Warhead Blueprint from Disgraced Pakistani Expert - [Guardian] International suspicion of Iran's nuclear programme heightened when it was revealed that Tehran had obtained a blueprint showing how to build the core of a nuclear warhead.

The Economics Fueling the French Riots - [Business Week] It's becoming quite clear how unsustainable a system is that actually fosters sky-high youth unemployment -- and not just in France.

The Plight of Internally Displaced Persons - [Population Reference Bureau] At least 25 million people in some 40 countries worldwide have been forcibly displaced within their own countries by violent conflict or environmental disasters such as hurricanes or earthquakes. But these populations -- known in the international community as internally displaced persons (IDPs) -- don't receive the attention or services accorded refugees who leave their countries because of persecution.

Crime and Migration - [The Globalist] The end of the Cold War prompted an international outbreak of organized crime, with ethnic factions recruiting smart and talented criminals to increase their profits. In “Give Us Your Best and Brightest," Devesh Kapur of the Center for Global Development and John McHale uncover some of the more seedy aspects of globalization as international networks of organized crime grow.

Hemispheric Disturbances in the Americas - [The Globalist] There is no easy solution for Washington to repair its troubled relations with Latin America -- or for the countries in the region to regain confidence in the motives of the United States. Aliza Hochman argues that President Bush could begin to repair relations by addressing restrictive U.S. agricultural policies and she warns that the mutual act of playing to the gallery does nothing to repair serious rifts.

The Global Sweep to Mop Up the World's Oil Resources - [Yale Global] China is prowling the globe in search of energy sources. Oil executives and diplomats have signed a flurry of deals, from Canada to Kazakhstan. The scramble has triggered unease in Washington, where American conservatives worry about China's growing economic muscle, but has sparked an unprecedented engagement with Africa.

Dubai: The Next Big Thing in Outsourcing? - [Business Week] Dubai has kicked off an effort to land some of the outsourcing work that is heading to countries with low labour costs like China and India. But instead of trying to compete head-to-head against those giants, the country is positioning itself as a place where companies can place their more senior or more qualified employees who may not want to live in Bangalore or Mumbai.


ENVIRONMENT

New Close-Up on Arctic's Climate Changes - [Christian Science Monitor] The Arctic has long been viewed as the canary in the coal mine for global warming. Now, say many researchers, the canary not only is teetering on its perch; it may have reached the tumbling point.

India Unlikely to Agree to Kyoto Caps - [Reuters] India is unlikely to agree to any emission caps in the next phase of the Kyoto Protocol because of its expanding energy-hungry economy, but analysts say developed nations will continue to pile pressure on the nation. Asia's third-largest economy and home to about a sixth of humanity has some of the most polluted cities in the world, many of them continually shrouded in eye-stinging smog of noxious fumes from cars and industry.

EU States Lose Grip on Climate Change Targets - [EU Observer] Further efforts are needed to tackle climate change, the UN has warned in a fresh report, with greenhouse gas emissions in many EU states rising instead of decreasing.

PM 'Convinced' on Nuclear Future - [BBC] Tony Blair is believed to be convinced over the need for nuclear power to tackle the UK energy crisis.

Water Builds the Heat in Europe - [BBC] Water vapour rather than carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is the main reason why Europe's climate is warming, according to a new study.

Deforestation Slowing - [BBC] The speed of global deforestation is showing signs of slowing down because of new planting and natural forest extension, according to new figures.

China: 'This is our Katrina' - [news24.com] An 80km-long slick of highly toxic benzene surged down a river into one of China's biggest cities on Thursday, leaving up to four million people without public water services.


THE FUTURE

Report from the Futurists - [Fast Company] Futurists who have tired of being relegated to the second string are organizing to advocate for the value of futures studies.


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