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Innovation Watch Newsletter 4.16
August 6, 2005

ISSN: 1712-9834


In this issue...


This week... opportunities and challenges. New insights into genomic evolution and disease. A project that hopes to simulate the emergence of culture and society. A major advance in quantum computing. Microbes that use sunlight to produce hydrogen. And Asian growth and the global competition for energy.

New light on evolution...

By comparing human, mouse, rat, cow, pig, dog, cat and horse chromosomes, American researchers have found that evolutionary change tends to occur at hotspots in the genetic code -- rather than randomly, as was previously believed. Chromosomes have a greater tendency to break in these places, producing changes in the DNA sequence. Fragments of the genetic code can even move between chromosomes. The researchers found that chromosomal evolution accelerated dramatically about 65 million years ago, at the time of the extinction of the dinosaurs. They reported that genetic abnormalities associated with human cancer also tend to be located at these hotspots, although the link between cancer and the hotspots is not yet known.

Society in silicon...

A consortium of European research institutes plans to create a society of virtual agents on a network of 50 computers, watching to see what evolves. Each agent will have mobility, and the capability to build simple structures. It will also be able to communicate and cooperate with others. Researchers expect that the agents may evolve their own language and culture. Work is currently underway to develop the technology required to maintain and visualize this virtual world.

A breakthrough in quantum computing...

Physicists at the University of Basel in Switzerland have imagined a new device that would allow quantum computers to be made out of silicon. Analogous to the transistor, the device -- called a 'spin-parity meter' -- could be used as a building block to construct quantum circuitry. While it has not yet been made, scientists are excited. "With a spin-parity meter in hand," says physicist Jose Carlos Egues, at the University of Sao Paulo in Brazil, "quantum computing could be just around the corner."

Using microbes to create hydrogen...

Researchers at Stanford University have found a soil microorganism that uses energy from sunlight to split water and create hydrogen. It is anaerobic, and dies when exposed to large concentrations of oxygen. The research team is working to create a genetic strain of the organism that will survive when exposed to the atmosphere. The ultimate objective is to use it to manufacture hydrogen biologically as an alternative fuel source.

Asian growth...

Data from the International Iron & Steel Institute shows that steel production is growing rapidly in Asia, while it is falling in the rest of the world. Production grew by 20% in Asia last year. It increased by 32% in China, and by 17% in India, in the first quarter of this year. At the same time, output has dropped by 4% in Europe and by 5% in the United States.

The Globalist reports that Samsung -- a South Korean company that is the world's second largest semiconductor manufacturer after Intel -- increased its sales by 53% last year. It has surpassed Motorola to occupy second place in the global mobile phone market. South Korea, The Globalist says, is a major supplier to China, chalking up a $29 billion trade surplus. It already graduates half as many engineers as the United States, with only one-sixth of the U.S. population.

The scramble for energy...

India imports 70% of its oil, EcoWorld says, and demand for petroleum products is increasing by 5% each year. Little wonder then, that the country is pursuing energy security. Its national Oil and Natural Gas Corporation has already made equity investments in oil fields in Iraq, Sudan, Libya, Angola, Burma, Sakhalin (in Russia), Vietnam, Iran and Syria. EcoWorld says India is drawing closer to a new 'energy axis' that is forming between Iran, Russia and China. China and India, the magazine says, are starting to appreciate their shared energy interests "against the multinational corporations and Western governments, who currently dominate the field."

The San Francisco Chronicle reports that China's state oil company has investments in approximately 26 nations, including Iran, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syria, Korea and Azerbaijan. The author of the article -- Richard D'Amato, chairman of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission -- says China's recent bid for the American firm Unocal was a "brazen energy grab." D'Amato says China's economic growth accounts for approximately 40% of the increase in world demand for oil, and that diversion of scarce energy resources to China will cause "severe economic dislocations in the United States."

FutureThink...

This week we feature a new book by futurists Edie Weiner and Arnold Brown, who share the techniques they use in their consulting practice, showing us how to think more clearly about the future. FutureThink is a great read. It describes patterns of change, the major forces creating change in the world today, and ways to increase our level of awareness.

David Forrest


we welcome your comments and feedback at mail@innovationwatch.com


SCIENCE

Multi-Species Genome Comparison Sheds New Light on Evolution - [RxPG News] An international team that includes researchers from the National Human Genome Research Institute (NHGRI), part of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), has discovered that mammalian chromosomes have evolved by breaking at specific sites rather than randomly as long thought --and that many of the breakage hotspots are also involved in human cancer.

Chronic Fatigue Gene Signs Found - [Turkish Weekly] Scientists believe they have pinpointed biological markers of chronic fatigue syndrome which could help develop a test and treatment for the condition. CFS, or ME, makes people feel extremely tired, and can cause weakness, headaches, and disrupted sleep.

Collapsed Ice Shelf Exposes Life - [Wired] An expansive ecosystem of knee-high mud volcanoes, snowy microbial mats and flourishing clam communities lies beneath the collapsed Larsen Ice Shelf in Antarctica, say researchers.

Simulated Society May Generate Virtual Culture - [New Scientist] Virtual computer characters more accustomed to battling deranged alien monsters are about to take part in a unique social experiment. A society of virtual "agents” -- each with a remarkably realistic personality and the ability to learn and communicate -- is being crafted by scientists from five European research institutes who hope to gain insights into the way human societies evolve.

Has Huygens Found Life on Titan? - [New Scientist] Titan's atmosphere is about 5 per cent methane, and Chris McKay of NASA's Ames Research Center in Moffet Field, California, thinks that some of it could be coming from methanogens, or methane-producing microbes. Now he and Heather Smith of the International Space University in Strasbourg, France, have worked out the likely diet of such organisms on Titan.

Lost Civilization Throws New Light on Origins of Chinese Culture - [Manilla Times] Day after sweltering day on the banks of the Modi stream, archeologists are dealing shattering blows to traditional views of Chinese history as they work their way through the parched, yellow earth.

Huge Spy Satellite Set to Launch to Mars - [New Scientist] NASA is preparing to launch the largest spacecraft ever sent to Mars. The behemoth will skim relatively close to the Red Planet's surface -- beaming back more data than all previous missions combined -- and scout out landing sites for future Mars missions.


TECHNOLOGY

Quantum Computers Go for a Spin - [Nature] Two physicists have come up with an idea that could crack the as yet unsolved problem of how to build a quantum computer, a device that would make a conventional supercomputer look like a Palm Pilot.

Mini Robot Mimics Cockroaches - [C|NET] Scientists in Lausanne, Switzerland, have successfully infiltrated a colony of roaches with a micro robot that has enough intricacies to interact with the world's most resilient insect, according to a report published in the June issue of IEEE Robotics & Automation.

Stanford Project Mixes Darwin with Hydrogen - [C|NET] Researchers at Stanford University, led by chemical engineering professor James Swartz, have discovered a soil microorganism that absorbs photons and subsequently metabolizes the energy to split water, a chemical reaction that produces hydrogen.

Wi-Fi in the Sky - [PC World] Boeing has launched streaming television delivered straight to your laptop as part of its Connexion by Boeing high-speed Internet service. The video service will debut on Singapore Airlines, and lets passengers watch CNBC, BBC, Eurosport News, and either MSNBC (if you're flying in the United States) or Euronews (if you're abroad).

Robo-Sapiens Rising - [Macleans] Sony, Honda and others are spending millions to put a robot in your home.

Homemade - [IEEE Spectrum] By giving everyone the means of production, personal fabrication systems could usher in a new age of customization.

Blogging + Video = Vlogging - [Wired] It was inevitable: Bloggers who previously wrote endlessly about everything from politics to tech tips to how to fry an egg on a hot sidewalk can now take their commentary, advice and random experiments to the next level by filming and broadcasting their work, thanks to the latest web trend -- video blogging.


BUSINESS AND ECONOMY

Is There Method in Microsoft's Security Buys? - [C|NET] While Microsoft's latest deals show it's committed to building its security muscle, some analysts say the company needs to focus on a clearer and more productive strategy.

Steel Output Shines 20% in Asia, But Dulls Globally - [Economic Times] The latest data for June ’05 from International Iron & Steel Institute shows that steel production growth is getting concentrated in Asia while the rest of the world shows a decline in steel output.

Age of Abundance Demands Innovation - [Globe and Mail] You might have the best team with the best of innovation, but there are these overly diluted markets out there, glutted with look-alike brands and identical services. The challenge is to fine-tune a marketing process that will not only re-energize the production, but produce a shaper edge in design, quality and value, and build a unique iconic identity.

Ecosystem Considerations Make Businesses More Competitive - [World Business Council for Sustainable Development] James Griffiths of the World Business Council for Sustainable Development commends the newly launched report, Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Opportunities and Challenges for Business and Industry.

Podcasting: Can This New Medium Make Money? - [Wharton Managing Technology] Conservative commentator Rush Limbaugh and his nemesis, Al Franken, are podcasting. As are ESPN, former MTV video jockey Adam Curry and thousands of others. Podcasting, a way to broadcast audio over the Internet, has become the latest web movement to get everyone's attention.

Designed for Loving - [Business Week] As consumers grow increasingly accustomed to products that look good and work well, market-leading companies and their design teams must provide something more -- well-designed customer experiences that evoke emotional attachment. The global advertising agency Saatchi & Saatchi has put its finger on this new competitive standard by stating that the future belongs to products and services with "love marks" -- emotional connections that go beyond brand loyalty.

Reach Out and Call Someone…Again - [Darwin] We’ve become so accustomed to depending on e-mail that we not only use it to communicate with colleagues and friends across the globe, but also with those who are within “indoor voice” distance... What could be more efficient? There is a price for this efficiency, however.


SOCIETY

Pressure on US to Use More Surveillance - [ABC News] Pressure is building for greater use of video cameras to keep watch over the nation's cities particularly in transportation systems and other spots vulnerable to terrorism after the bombings in London.

Urban Rise, Rural Demise - [Deutsche Welle] In 1800, a mere 2 percent of the world population lived in urban areas. Granted, the 21st century is denser, but nonetheless, urban living has now reached an all time high, and there seems to be no turning back.

Europe's Culture Clash - [Boston Globe] If Europe is to weather the challenge of accommodating an ever greater proportion of Muslims, many of whom do not want to abandon their distinct values and traditions, majorities and minorities will both have to change their ways.

Sweden's 'Marriage Lite' Gets Closer Examination - [USA Today] The rise of cohabitation in the USA has prompted those who track the state of American marriages and families to take a closer look at Sweden, where unmarried, opposite-sex partners routinely live together.

Re-Defining Libraries for the Google Age - [eGov Monitor] Lynne Brindley, Chief Executive of the British Library, writes that a national digital research collection is essential for the UK’s future innovation and economic growth.

A Lever Long Enough to Move the World - [Fast Company] Bill Drayton is founder and chief executive of a group called Ashoka. It is not hyperbolic to call Ashoka this century's (much better) version of the United Way, and Drayton the most important innovator of any sort out there -- a seer who has correctly predicted the rise of the "citizen sector" in the past two decades and an audacious visionary of what will yet come.

Trapped in the Poverty Cycle - [The Standard] The rich-poor divide is greater than before 1949. Last month, Beijing announced it has widened in the first three months of the year, with the richest 10 percent of the population controlling 45 percent of the country's wealth, and the poorest 10th holding little more than 1 percent.


GLOBAL POLITICS

US Schools Lack Adequate Chinese Language Skills - [CNN] US schools lack resources and teachers to meet the demand for Chinese language and culture studies, despite the growing importance of China's economic and political relationship with the United States, according to a study released by the Asia Society.

Managing a Ménage à Trois - [International Herald Tribune] Washington's current courtship of New Delhi takes place against the backdrop of a similar Sino-Indian entente, as well as thickening U.S.-China ties.

China's Global Bid for Energy - [San Francisco Chronicle] China's economy has grown dramatically -- 9 percent in 2004 and more than 8 percent in 2005 -- and its government is eager to feed its economy and its upwardly mobile 1.8 billion people with natural resources that it does not currently possess.

Our Place in the World: Global Forces Alter US Economy - [Seattle Post-Intelligencer] The war on terror is so visually dramatic that its gruesome headlines and sound bites actually limit our view of the larger world. In fact, those life-and-death themes often mask an otherwise mustard-or-mayo complacency about broader, even revolutionary change.

India's Energy Future - [EcoWorld] Now importing over 70% of her oil, India registered a trade deficit in 2004 for the first time in several years. In searching for more oil India must navigate global markets that point her towards an emerging energy-trading bloc comprising Russia, Iran and China. India has also forged new partnerships with Burma and Venezuela, strengthened ties with Middle Eastern nations, and explored unprecedented economic cooperation with Pakistan.

The South Korean Firehose - [Globalist] Some think of South Korea as a developing country -- an "Asian tiger" defended by 30,000 US troops and locked in a tense standoff with its counterpart to the North. But Clyde Prestowitz says that stereotype could not be further from the truth. As he contends, a trip to South Korea proves that the country is relentless in its drive to the top of the tech world.

US Right Turns on Blair for Being 'Soft on Terror' - [Telegraph] The American Right, for four years a fount of rapturous praise for Tony Blair, is showing signs of falling out of love with Britain over what it sees as its soft and ineffective record on terrorism.


ENVIRONMENT

Disaster Losses Spur Eco-Debate - [Fort Wayne Journal Gazette] As head of the “geo risks” division at Munich Re, the world’s largest insurer of insurance companies, Peter Hoeppe sizes up the threat of tropical cyclones, floods and tsunamis like a Las Vegas oddsmaker tries to pick the winner of the Super Bowl. And increasingly, Hoeppe’s biggest worry is not when the fabled big one will shake California or the next Hurricane Andrew will steamroll Florida. It’s global warming, which he believes already is costing the $3 trillion insurance industry.

GM Crops Created Superweed, Say Scientists - [Guardian] Modified genes from crops in a GM crop trial have transferred into local wild plants, creating a form of herbicide-resistant "superweed", the Guardian reveals.

Helping China's Environment Will Help the World - [David Suzuki Foundation] China is the most populous nation on the planet -- home to 1.3 billion souls -- yet, economically, it's just waking up. How China handles its burgeoning economy and how the developed world deals with China's rapid industrialization will have a profound impact on the planet.

Why Not 'Sustainability Fundamentals' in Corporate Reporting? - [GreenBiz] One cannot imagine the financial markets functioning without public disclosure of financial fundamentals in a form that allows for benchmarking with competitors. Yet investors who wish to take a longer-term view of risk and consider sustainability performance are left hanging. And without key performance indicators, sustainability performance will never improve.

Body Burden -- The Pollution in Newborns - [Environmental Working Group] In a study spearheaded by the Environmental Working Group in collaboration with Commonweal, researchers at two major laboratories found an average of 200 industrial chemicals and pollutants in umbilical cord blood from 10 babies born in August and September of 2004 in US hospitals.

Easy, Breezy, Beautiful - [Grist Magazine] For small-scale wind turbines to be a practical option, you need at least half an acre of land in a wind-rich area.

Toyota Plans Ways to Make Hybrid Models Stand Out - [USA Today] Toyota is planning more prominent emblems on its gas-electric hybrid SUVs in a new belief that owners want others to know of their environmental consciousness.


THE FUTURE

Eco-Designs on Future Cities - [BBC] Imagining what our cities will look like in the future has long been a favourite pastime of the Hollywood movie industry. Ask a gathering of leading thinkers in the worlds of architecture and design, and you get a rather different picture.


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