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Innovation Watch Newsletter 4.13
June 25, 2005

ISSN: 1712-9834


Changes...


We have recently reorganized Innovation Watch and its companion websites, to improve navigation and set the stage for future expansion. We'll add a number of new features during the summer, including new content, several new contributors and columnists, and two new websites.

The first website -- Innovation Dynamics -- will explore the connection between creativity and innovation, providing resources on the creative process, and information on tools and techniques for enhancing creativity.

The second website -- Innovation Dialogue -- will offer guidance on growing globally competitive, innovative enterprises -- initially in business, and later in the government, education, nonprofit and R&D sectors. The site will be managed by the Innovation Expedition, a virtual network organization that serves as a great global connector -- linking and supporting influential innovators and potential innovators in their efforts to build high-performing organizations and create sustainable prosperity in their communities.

The immediate stimulus to create this site was the Innovation Expedition's recent involvement in facilitating a national Canadian dialogue on "Growing Globally Competitive, Innovative Business Enterprises" -- work that was sponsored by a Federal/Provincial/Territorial Task Force. Innovation Dialogue will feature key learnings from that initiative, and will use them to stimulate ongoing conversations -- nationally and internationally -- on this critical topic.

In this issue...

As we preoccupy ourselves with making a living on this planet, Voyager 1 is transiting the heliosheath at the remote edge of our solar system, and entering deep space. Drifting into the dark realm between the stars, the small spacecraft carries greetings from Earth. From this distant vantage point, our planet slips farther and farther into the background. Contemplating Earth from this perspective should give us cause for reflection: What is the true significance of this place we call home, and what hopes do we have for its future?

Global inequalities...

In the last 20 years, poverty has doubled in sub-Saharan Africa, the Guardian says, while it has halved in East Asia during the same period. Many people -- the "ultra poor" -- now live below the World Bank's dollar-a-day poverty line, on less than half a dollar a day. And prospects are not good for much improvement in these numbers.

Weapons in space...

The Guardian reports that President George Bush may assert American military dominance by placing weapons in orbit around the Earth. According to a 2002 Pentagon planning document, this will create new capabilities for anti-satellite warfare and ground attacks from orbit. A potential new Rods from God weapon, the newspaper says, "would aim tungsten, titanium or uranium cylinders at targets on the ground from a position in low earth orbit. By the time they hit the earth they would be travelling at around 7,500 mph, with the impact of a small nuclear warhead." Another scheme envisages space-based lasers that could be focused on a terrestrial target. Analysts expect the US program will trigger a new arms race.

Mega-consumer nation...

Economic growth is exacting a significant toll from China's environment, National Geographic says in a recent article. Sixteen of the world's most polluted cities are in China. And the Washington, D.C.-based Worldwatch Institute says the country's economic boom is also depleting the world's natural resources. "China is becoming the sucking force, taking raw materials from across the planet, because it alone doesn't have the resources it needs to sustain its growth," says Lisa Mastny, director of Vital Signs 2005, a recent Worldwatch project. Only 240 million people are now included in China's consumer class, she says -- the equivalent of the United States, but only 19 percent of the total Chinese population. "The potential number of Chinese people who could become consumers in the future is enormous."

The future...

We link to the thoughts of two futurists this week -- Roger Cass on the "Long Boom" economy, and Jeff Wacker on the evolution of the information society.

Fast Company calls futurist Roger Cass "the last optimist." The man who introduced the idea that we are facing years of unprecedented economic expansion -- the Long Boom -- is sticking to his story. For the moment, he says, we are experiencing an interruption, not a global downturn. He says the new economy that emerged in 1994 will run until 2020, fueled by new communications technologies and globalization.

The other futurist -- Jeff Wacker, at EDS Corp. -- says companies and industries will soon be transformed by an explosion of information. He says the forces triggering this explosion include a movement to real-time data collection; growth in information about information; ubiquitous embedded sensors; broad information exchange within the business ecosystem; a new emphasis on information that will help to anticipate the future; and more frequent information flows for quicker decision-making.

Wacker says that eight technologies will help organizations to master this new information environment: embedded technology; mobile technology; web services; intelligent agents; predictive technology; modeling and active simulation; grid, utility and cluster computing; and the Internet. Those who get it, he says, will thrive.

David Forrest


we welcome your comments and feedback at mail@innovationwatch.com


SCIENCE

Voyager 1 Pushes for Deep Space - [BBC] The Voyager 1 probe is getting very close to the edge of the Solar System. Launched in 1977, the craft is now some 14 billion km (8.7 billion miles) from the Sun and on the cusp of deep space.

Stem Cell Hope for Liver Disease - [BBC] Researchers have begun a pioneering trial using patients' own stem cells to treat their chronic liver disease.

Traces Of Stowaway Earth Algae Could Survive On Mars, Study Finds - [PhysOrg] Some hardy Earth microbes could survive long enough on Mars to complicate the search for alien life, according to a new study co-authored by University of Florida researchers. The new study shows that at least one tough Earth species, a type of blue-green algae called Chroococcidiopsis, could live just long enough to leave a biological trace in the Martian soil -- creating a potential false positive.

To Stop Evolution: New Way of Fighting Antibiotic Resistance Demonstrated by Scripps Scientists - [Science Daily] A team of scientists at The Scripps Research Institute and the University of Wisconsin have demonstrated a new way of fighting antibiotic resistance: by stopping evolution.

Chimeras: Breaching the Species Boundary - [The Hindu] Making a hybrid between man and chimpanzee is technically possible.

Accelerator Deciphers Archimedes - [Wired] A particle accelerator is revealing parts of the long-lost writings of the Greek mathematician Archimedes, work hidden for centuries after a Christian monk wrote over it during the Middle Ages.

Early Humans 'Followed Coast' - [BBC] The first humans who left Africa to populate the world headed south along the coast of the Indian Ocean, Science magazine reports.


TECHNOLOGY

Electronic Cloth Deters Intruders - [Discovery Channel] At first glance, a cloth bag may seem an unlikely security device. But if it's made from a new, electronic fabric, it could not only resist tampering, but sound off an alarm or send an alert to the owner and authorities.

Your Desk, Chair are Watching You - [CNN] Office of the future will be super smart.

Bridging the Gap Between Man and Machine - [space.com] Crew cooperation will always be vital in any manned space exploration mission, even if some of those crewmembers aren’t human. With a current mandate to return human explorers to the moon no later than 2020, then push on to Mars, NASA researchers are developing better robots for the humans who will work alongside them on space missions.

Microsoft Previews MSN Virtual Earth Geo-Mapping Service - [CIO Today] MSN Virtual Earth will offer detailed local search results that include actual glimpses of the pizza joints and coffee shops rather than just the rooftop views satellite images allow, the company said.

When 'I Robot' becomes 'We Robot' - [Christian Science Monitor] It sounds like classic sci-fi: Robots, linked by a common network, roam the land. When one unit discovers something, they all know it instantly. They use artificial intelligence to carry out their mission. Soon, such marching orders will be real, carried out by robot groups known as "swarms" or "hives."

Nanotech Printing on the Way - [Mercury News] A New Hampshire company, putting down Silicon Valley roots, is developing nano-printing technologies that could eventually make better electronics, labeling and even the foundation for human skin cells.

Is 'CraigsNews' Coming Soon? - [Technology Review] While mainstream media outlets grapple with the role they will play in the 21st century, a new kind of media is on the rise, one that promises greater transparency in the creation of news.


BUSINESS AND ECONOMY

Roger Cass, The Last Optimist - [Fast Company] Roger Cass is the man who invented the idea of the Long Boom -- the notion that we're only 7 years into a 27-year expansion, the likes of which the world has never seen before. The future, Cass says, is already written. All we need is the confidence to accept it.

University Presses Slam Google Print - [eWeek] University publishers have put out a call to arms over Google's plans to digitize copyrighted works from three U.S. university libraries. An association representing 125 university and other nonprofit publishers has written to Google Inc. seeking answers to concerns that the Google Print project for libraries violates their copyrights and undermines their financial ability to publish scholarly works.

The Wi-Fi Debate: Should Cities Be in the Business of Broadband? - [Wharton Managing Technology] The city of Philadelphia's grand experiment to blanket its 135 square miles with wireless high-speed Internet access is being closely watched by municipalities across the US that are pursuing similar initiatives. While Philadelphia's project, which edged closer to reality with an announcement on April 7, is more than a year away from completion, it has sparked an intense debate over whether cities have any business in the broadband industry.

Starbucks Sees China as Future No. 2 Market - [Seattle Post-Intelligencer] Starbucks Corp. expects tea powerhouse China to eventually become the coffee chain's second-biggest market after the United States, an executive said.

Can China build its own Silicon Valley? - [MSNBC] “Zhongguancun” doesn’t roll off the Western tongue easily, but it will soon be an address that technology investors must learn. For 25 years, locales from Singapore to the south of France have tried to create their own Silicon Valleys, but the original’s remarkable spirit has never been duplicated. China, however, is putting the finishing touches on its own Silicon Valley -- and this time, they may have found the recipe.

Technology Outsourcing Comes Home - [Boston Globe] The trend toward ''backsourcing," when companies pull outsourced information technology functions back in-house from a contractor in the United States or abroad, is more widespread than is generally understood.

Is US Business Losing Europe? - [The Conference Board] Dismissed by the Bush administration as "old Europe" and unable to slow the march to war, Western Europeans have focused their ire on the government's nearest representatives: American businesspeople.


SOCIETY

They Backed Bush -- And Expect Him To Deliver - [Business Week] Evangelicals' influence in American political life has become increasingly visible in recent years. Now the battle over President George W. Bush's judicial appointments threatens to kick up a firestorm over the intrusion of religion into politics. But to many evangelicals, the campaign isn't controversial at all -- it's just one step in a long-range plan to leverage their growing numbers and political clout.

African Poverty has Doubled in 20 Years - [Mail & Guardian] A new report has revealed that poverty in sub-Saharan Africa has doubled over the past 20 years, while in East Asia it has fallen by half.

Bands Embrace Social Networking - [Wired] In the absence of radio play, garage bands all across America are establishing a presence on MySpace, a social-networking site popular with young adults. According to MySpace, more than 240,000 artists of every kind -- from unsigned amateurs to international rock stars -- are using MySpace as a way to market themselves and build a fan base.

Christianity is on the Rise in Africa - [Fort Wayne News Sentinel] For centuries, Christianity has been primarily a white, European and North American religion. But the explosive growth of Africa and Asia, combined with the success of evangelization there, will change that forever. By 2050, it's expected that only one in five Christians worldwide will be white. And places like St. Joseph's -- a regular parish in an unremarkable Nigerian town -- will be the Christian mainstream.

Privacy vs. Openness: A Data Dilemma in US - [International Herald Tribune] Ted Stevens wanted to know just how much the Internet has turned private lives into open books. So the US senator, a Republican from Alaska and the chairman of the Senate Commerce Committee, instructed his staff to steal his identity.

Unexpected Baby Boom - [MSNBC] France, with the second largest population in the EU, is engaged in what, by European standards, registers as a remarkable population boom.

Evangelicals Rethink their Public Face - [MSNBC] Two recent declarations by evangelical and conservative religious thinkers suggest that evangelicals have become too closely identified with conservative political activism, at the expense of attracting new followers.


GLOBAL POLITICS

Arab Allies Test US 'Freedom' Agenda - [Christian Science Monitor] Egyptian Prime Minister Ahmed Nazief's meeting with President Bush comes at a troubling time for the president's Middle East agenda. The administration's calls for radical change in the region are now butting up against clear resistance from its closest Arab allies.

Two Possible Futures for Iraq's Struggle - [Christian Science Monitor] Beneath the day-to-day challenges that face Iraq, faint outlines are beginning to emerge of how the country might look after several key actions are taken over coming months - and depending on how Iraqis respond to them.

Bush Proposes Corps to Aid New Democracies - [ABC News] President Bush, seeking to put muscle behind a promise to support young democracies, said the administration is creating a special corps of federal workers that will deploy quickly to help foreign governments in crisis.

The Rising Economic Cost of the Iraq War - [Christian Science Monitor] Fighting in Iraq has been prolonged and remains intense enough that it has pushed the total cost of US military operations since Sept. 11, 2001, close to that of the Korean War.

Bush Likely to Back Weapons in Space - [The Guardian] President George Bush is expected to issue a directive in the next few weeks giving the US air force a green light for the development of space weapons, potentially triggering a new global arms race.

US to Widen Focus Against Extremism - [Boston Globe] The Bush administration has launched a high-level review of its efforts to battle terrorism, aimed at moving away from a policy that has stressed efforts to capture and kill Al Qaeda leaders and toward what an official called a broader ''strategy against violent extremism."

Free Advice for Paul Wolfowitz - [Foreign Policy] Former Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz is the next head of the World Bank. His mission: to end global poverty. The trouble is, few agree on how to go about it. So Foreign Policy asked five of the world’s leading development experts to offer Wolfowitz some free advice on getting the job done.


ENVIRONMENT

Europe Emissions Trade Takes Off As World Watches - [Reuters] The fledgling market for carbon dioxide emissions has experienced a bright start in Europe and will see trading volumes increase over the next year, a senior industry official told Reuters in an interview.

China's Boom Is Bust for Global Environment, Study Warns - [National Geographic] China's spectacular economic boom may be inflicting a terrible toll on the global environment, a new study warns. According to Vital Signs 2005 -- a new report by the Worldwatch Institute, a Washington, D.C.-based environmental nonprofit -- China is now driving the consumption and production of almost everything, threatening to deplete the world's resources.

Is Britain's Future Really Nuclear? - [BBC] When the "father" of the environmental movement, James Lovelock, declared that nuclear energy was the only practical answer to the challenges of global warming he set off a chain reaction.

Report: China Faces Coal Shortage by 2010 - [ABC News] China is expected to consume 2.2 billion tons of coal a year by 2010, resulting in a shortage of 330 million tons a year, a state-run newspaper reported.

Australia Warns Japan Over Whales - [BBC] Australia is stepping up a diplomatic campaign to persuade Japan to drop plans to increase commercial whaling. Under an international agreement, there is a moratorium on the hunting of whales, but some can be killed for scientific research.

Bugs in Termite Guts May Offer Future Fuel Source - [ABC News] Steven Chu looks down the road and sees an America that is free from foreign oil, powered by home-grown genetically engineered fuel that burns cleanly and is as available as the weeds that grow in your garden. And where does this Nobel laureate get his inspiration? From termites. Or more specifically: the guts of termites.

The Mad Genius from the Bottom of the Sea - [Wired] Unlimited energy. Fast-growing fruit. Free air-conditioning. John Piña Craven says we can have it all by tapping the icy waters of the deep.


THE FUTURE

Sizing Up the Next Big Thing - [Globe and Mail] There is an explosion coming. It will happen without making a sound. It will devastate more companies and transform more industries than any physical explosion ever could. It is the coming explosion of information.


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