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Innovation Watch Newsletter 4.10
May 14, 2005

ISSN: 1712-9834


In this issue...


We're speeding headlong into the future, faster than ever before. However improbable this future may appear to be, it's quickly overtaking us. Objects in the rearview mirror may be closer than they appear.

Tinkering with life...

Science News reports that Japanese researchers have added a human gene to rice. Plants engineered with this gene are resistant to more than a dozen herbicides, allowing farmers to rotate the chemicals they use. By alternating herbicides, the scientists say, farmers can give engineered rice an advantage, and avoid creating herbicide resistant weeds.

James Auger, author of the book Augmented Animals, advocates using technology to 'improve' the experience of domesticated animals. He envisages a bird cage that uses wind tunnel techniques to give captive birds the experience of free flight, and respirators that eliminate unattractive odors for dogs. The idea has also been explored by others. Wired quotes David Pearce, associate editor of the Journal of Evolution and Technology: "To offset the cruelty of factory-farming, routine implants of smart microchips in the pleasure centers may be feasible.... Since there is no physiological tolerance to pure pleasure, factory-farmed animals could lead a lifetime of pure bliss instead of misery."

MSNBC reports that a University of Nevada-Reno researcher has added human cells to sheep, creating animals that have partly-human livers, hearts, brains and other organs. Could adding human cells to the brain create an animal that thinks like a human? Unlikely, scientists say. But the ethics committee at Stanford University that approved such experimentation in mice recommended killing any animals that exhibited human-like behavior.

Nanofutures...

Business Week says IBM is creating transistors from carbon nanotubes. The tubes are almost infinitely small (100,000 approximate the size of a human hair when they are laid side-by-side). Nanotube transistors are faster, and they use less power, so heating is less of a problem than it is with current computer chips. Researchers are also working on nanotube memory that retains data when the power is turned off. Experts expect an incremental transition to these new technologies, starting with hybrid silicon and nanotube chip designs.

Technology Research News reports that California Institute of Technology scientist Erik Winfree has pushed molecular self-assembly to a new level, where strands of artificial DNA arranged themselves in the fractal pattern of a Sierpinski triangle. The DNA molecules themselves directed the process. "The only place one finds sophisticated embedded control of chemical processes is in biology," Winfree says. And while the creation of a Sierpinski pattern is much simpler, he says, "it is far more complex than the four DNA rule tiles that directed its growth."

The friend of my friend...

According to eWeek, Insider Pages and LinkedIn Corp. have both introduced the capability to find local services -- such as lawyers, financial planners and tradespeople -- through recommendations from a social network. Stu MacFarlane, CEO of Insider Pages, says: "We've taken the concept of word of mouth and moved it online." LinkedIn ranks service providers so that businesses recommended by friends appear first.

Still connected...

Wired tells the story of a couple living on opposite coasts of the United States, who spend time "together" through their cell phones. With an unlimited calling plan, Julia Steinmetz and Michael Mandiberg send text, photos and emails, and leave the connection open -- even as they sleep.

Voting 'non'...

Will French voters say Yes or No when they pass judgment on the draft EU constitution later this month? Advanced polls suggest that it may be No. Wharton Public Policy and Management discusses the likelihood and the consequences of a No vote. Assessments of the impact of a negative result range from the "fall of Europe" to a temporary setback for European integration. There are many reasons for the opposition, ranging from a fear of distant decision-makers in Brussels to concerns about an inflow of immigration from Eastern Europe, and resulting competition for jobs.

Changing the rules...

In a Technology Review article, Stewart Brand predicts a change in sentiment in the environmental movement around four contentious issues: population growth, urbanization, genetic engineering, and nuclear power. Brand says we will benefit as population declines due to urbanization, as GM crops reduce the use of pesticides and herbicides, and as we increase the use of nuclear power to reduce atmospheric pollution.

Fast forward...

Writer Elizabeth Gardner makes twelve predictions for 2050 in a Financial-Planning.com article. In addition to the usual technology projections -- solar paint; wearable electronic devices; printable transistors; and inkjet printing of human tissues, bones and organs -- she comments on a number of significant social trends. "People of two or more races will become so common in the US that the Census Bureau will consider dropping the 'race' question," she says. California will introduce legislation making English, Spanish and Chinese official languages.

David Forrest


we welcome your comments and feedback at mail@innovationwatch.com


SCIENCE

Mice Put in 'Suspended Animation' - [BBC] Mice have been placed in a state of near suspended animation, raising the possibility that hibernation could one day be induced in humans.

Rice With a Human Touch: Engineered Grain Uses Gene from People to Protect Against Herbicides - [Science Daily] A human gene that Japanese researchers have inserted into rice enables the plant to break down a portfolio of chemicals now used on farms to kill weeds. The unusual breadth of that herbicide resistance could circumvent a major shortcoming of existing genetically engineered crops and also open new avenues for cleaning up contaminated soils.

Europe’s ExoMars Rover: Steering A Course Toward Humans On Mars - [Space.com] Future hunts for past or present life on Mars, hauling back to Earth samples of martian rock and soil, as well as setting the stage for a human voyage to the red planet is taking on a decidedly European look.

Augmenting the Animal Kingdom - [Wired] Natural evolution has produced the eye, butterfly wings and other wonders that would put any inventor to shame. But who's to say evolution couldn't be improved with the help of a little technology?

Scientists Create Animals that are Part-Human - [MSNBC] On a farm about six miles outside this gambling town, Jason Chamberlain looks over a flock of about 50 smelly sheep, many of them possessing partially human livers, hearts, brains and other organs.

Major Advance Made on DNA Structure - [Science Daily] Oregon State University researchers have made significant new advances in determining the structure of all possible DNA sequences -- a discovery that in one sense takes up where Watson and Crick left off, after outlining in 1953 the double-helical structure of this biological blueprint for life.

Newfound Dinosaur Caught in Evolution Act - [MSNBC] All plant-eating dinosaurs were ultimately descended from a meat-eater, and switchovers to plant-eating occurred several times. The newly discovered species, which lived 125 million years ago, could help scientists understand details of how the changeovers took place.


TECHNOLOGY

Return of 3-D - And No Goofy Glasses - [Christian Science Monitor] The digital world is essentially flat. Computers, TVs, movie screens, even cellphones, display images in two dimensions. But several latter-day Columbuses are trying to chart a digital world in three dimensions. And they've made enough progress that 3-D imaging -- once a laughable Hollywood experiment - is reaching new levels of realism.

The Coming Chip Revolution - [Business Week] Facing the limits of silicon, scientists are turning to carbon nanotubes.

Look for the Intelligent Label - [CIO Magazine] UK retailer Marks & Spencer (M&S) is taking its ongoing pilot with radio frequency identification (RFID) technology to the next level. Currently, the retail chain is testing the benefits of using RFIDs to track inventory of men's suits at nine stores. Next year, the company plans to extend its effort to 53 stores.

Trapped Cells Make Micromotors - [TRNmag] Researchers working to make machines at the molecular scale are tapping a ready-made source of motors -- biological cells.

Programmed DNA Forms Fractal - [TRNmag] DNA Sierpinski triangles show that there is no theoretical barrier to using molecular self-assembly to carry out any kind of computing and nanoscale fabrication.

Search Battle Heads to Video - [Wired] In recent weeks, Yahoo, Google and MSN have each rolled out services designed to make it easier to upload or locate video online. The portals' rollouts come as a handful of startups and independent film sites are creating tools to make putting video online nearly as simple as publishing text.

Six Heads of State Propose European Digital Library - [American Libraries] Following France’s call for European nations to make their library collections available on the internet, six European leaders have offered a proposal for what they called a “European digital library.”


BUSINESS AND ECONOMY

IBM to Axe 13,000 Jobs Worldwide - [BBC] Computer giant IBM will cut 13,000 jobs worldwide, or about 4% of its total workforce, as part of a restructuring aimed at boosting profits.

Greenspan: Budget Deficits Pose Danger - [ABC News] On the same day that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan issued a fresh warning about the dangers of bloated budget deficits, Congress considered new tax breaks for the energy industry and an $81 billion measure to pay for US military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Local Search Services Tap Social Networks - [eWeek] Local search is going social as a pair of startups launch services based on relationship-aware referrals and reviews rather than standard business listings.

Space Tourism Industry to Run 'Like Fast-Food Franchises' - [New Scientist] Space pioneer Burt Rutan foresees space tourism companies running like a fast-food franchises, with his company licensing spacecraft to tour operators. But he says he may have trouble cutting through federal regulations to get there.

More Foreigners Investing in American Real Estate - [MSNBC] There's a new group of buyers in the US real estate market: foreigners. A weak dollar and relatively low mortgage rates have turned houses and other real property into the investment of choice for a growing number of people from other countries.

US May Bring Back 30-Year Treasury Bond - [ABC News] The 30-year Treasury bond may be making a comeback. The Bush administration, which had stopped selling the bonds in October 2001, said on Wednesday that it was seriously considering bringing them back as the government faces the need to finance record budget deficits.

Breakthrough in Free Trade Talks - [BBC] The World Trade Organisation has moved a step closer to freeing up global trade after agreeing a tariff structure for agricultural imports.


SOCIETY

Teens becoming 'Generation Rx' - [CNN] About one in five teenagers have tried prescription painkillers such as Vicodin and OxyContin to get high, with the pill-popping members of "Generation Rx" often raiding their parents' medicine cabinets, according to a study by the Partnership for a Drug-Free America.

Far Apart but Intensely Connected - [Wired] Julia Steinmetz and Michael Mandiberg live on opposite sides of the United States, but are in constant contact -- courtesy of their unlimited cell-phone plan. The couple spends hours "together" each day, talking, messaging and, yes, even sleeping on the phone.

Heirloom Vegetables Rooted in Rich History - [Lawrence Journal-World] Interest in raising heirloom produce in home gardens, or buying it from farmers markets, appears to be increasing nationwide.

Women 'To Be Richer Sex by 2025' - [BBC] Women will be richer than men by 2025 and own 60% of the UK's personal wealth, a new study suggests.

Ad Execs Want to Track Every Move - [Wired] Marketers are testing new techniques to measure whether advertisers' messages are getting across, and they are prepared to spend vast sums and deploy astonishingly complex technologies to do so.

Mixed Roots: Science Looks at Family Trees - [Christian Science Monitor] Among the many spinoffs from the 2003 completion of the Human Genome Project - a government-funded effort to sequence and map all the human genes - is a new ancestry industry. Companies are using DNA markers passed from generation to generation to let people peer into the past to learn their genetic roots.

HIV is 'Out of Control' in India - [BBC] A senior Aids expert has warned that HIV in India is "out of control". The executive director of the Global Fund to Fight Aids said that the epidemic in India is spreading rapidly and nothing is being done to stop it.


GLOBAL POLITICS

The French Connection: Will a 'No' Vote from France Cause Europe to Fall Apart? - [Wharton Public Policy] 'Oui' or 'Non'? That's the question French voters will face on May 29 in a referendum on a constitution that would encompass the 25 countries of the European Union.

Global Poll Shows Preference for Europe Over US in World Affairs - [VOA] A new public opinion poll taken in 23 nations around the globe shows people in many countries would prefer that Europe become more influential than the United States in world affairs. Analysts say the results reflect resentment that the United States is the world's sole superpower and continued opposition to the conflict in Iraq.

‘The Challenge for India is to Move Up Its Value Chain Further’ - [Financial Times] Though the slow, but steady emergence of countries like China in mainstream offshore outsourcing is happening, India is a long way ahead and continues to grow fast as large global players want to take advantage of Indian offshore models with their own operations coupled with the Indian players’ capabilities to move up the value chain quickly.

US Figures Show Sharp Global Rise In Terrorism - [Washington Post] The number of serious international terrorist incidents more than tripled last year, according to US government figures, a sharp upswing in deadly attacks that the State Department has decided not to make public in its annual report on terrorism due to Congress this week.

EU Warns China on Textile Exports - [BBC] The European Union has called on China to reduce its clothing exports to Europe or else face enforced limits.

Apocalypse Soon - [Foreign Policy] Robert McNamara is worried. He knows how close we’ve come. His counsel helped the Kennedy administration avert nuclear catastrophe during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Today, he believes the United States must no longer rely on nuclear weapons as a foreign-policy tool. To do so is immoral, illegal, and dreadfully dangerous.

We Are Taiwanese, We Are Chinese - [World Press] As China continues to demand that Taiwan be recognized as domestic property, most experts agree that the island, which houses East Asia’s most stable democracy, will soon have to surrender to the geopolitical laws of gravity or commit itself, once and for all, to a determined trajectory, one that holds some hope of complete sovereignty.


ENVIRONMENT

Unwittingly, Earth Becomes a Lab - [Christian Science Monitor] Every day we conduct unwitting experiments on our home in the universe. We clear land and dam waters, remove species and introduce new ones. Sometimes the effects are benign; sometimes they're dangerous. What's scary is that we don't have the extensive ecological research to be able to tell the difference.

End of the Wild - [ZNet] For the past several billion years evolution on Earth has been driven by small-scale incremental forces such as sexual selection, punctuated by cosmic-scale disruptions -- plate tectonics, planetary geochemistry, global climate shifts, and even extraterrestrial asteroids. Sometime in the last century that changed. Today the guiding hand of evolution is unmistakably human, with earth-shattering consequences.

Environmental Heresies - [Technology Review] "Over the next ten years, I predict, the mainstream of the environmental movement will reverse its opinion and activism in four major areas: population growth, urbanization, genetically engineered organisms, and nuclear power."

Experts Seek Efficient Use of Water for Food Security - [Financial Times] Experts from four leading global research institutes, in a joint study, have said that unless steps are taken to improve efficient use of water, the world may need twice the level of current water consumption to feed a population of about nine billion in 2050.

Seabed Supplies a Cure for Global Warming Crisis - [Guardian] Scientists say they have found the solution to the global warming crisis. They want to bury it. They believe millions of tonnes of carbon dioxide could be dumped under the bed of the North Sea to reduce atmospheric warming.

Greenhouse Gas Market to Slow Global Warming - [CNN] Greenhouse gases are being bought and sold on the open market by countries concerned about climate change. The Kyoto Protocol, an international treaty to curb global warming, created the market in greenhouse gases to reduce emissions of methane, carbon dioxide and other gasses heating up the planet. The trade has gained steam since the Kyoto treaty entered into effect this February.

DNA Fingerprints for Ecosystem Heath - [Sci-Tech Today] US researchers said it is possible to determine the health of an ecosystem just by analyzing the DNA of microbes living in it.


THE FUTURE

2050: Twelve Predictions for What May Come - [FinancialPlanning.com] Given the ever-changing nature of the world, the potential accuracy of a prediction has a tendency to drop in inverse proportion to the distance between present and future. But here are a dozen possibilities about what the world may be like forty-five years from now -- and what those changes may mean for you.


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