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Innovation Watch Newsletter 4.07
April 2, 2005

ISSN: 1712-9834


In this issue...


We highlight a number of new stories in this issue about what it is to be human. There are interesting developments in the search for artificial intelligence. And new signs are appearing on many fronts of a radically different future.

The mystery of being human...

Science Daily reports new evidence that primitive structures in the human brain may play a much more significant role in learning than previously believed..Learning, researchers say, results from interactions between the primitive brain and the more advanced cerebral cortex. Autism and schizophrenia may result from an imbalance between the two systems.

The Washington Post reports that while woman have two X chromosomes, and one is turned off before birth, some genes in the inactivated chromosome continue to function. The number of genes that avoid inactivation varies widely from woman to woman. This may explain genetic differences between women, researchers say.

Artificial intelligence...

A researcher at the University of Reading has developed a new programming environment called "Perspex" that is based on geometrical structures, rather than a series of computer instructions. It works like a neural network. Dr. James Anderson says, "Any existing computer program can be compiled into a network of these neurons." The new approach could allow us eventually to create robots with minds that learn and function like our own -- including the ability to perform global reasoning or strategic thinking.

Field of dreams...

Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos recently bought a large tract of ranch land in rural Texas, where he plans to build a spaceport. The new venture -- called Blue Origin -- aims initially to send passengers to the edge of space. Its mission, reported by USA Today, is to "facilitate an enduring human presence in space." A number of other high-tech entrepreneurs -- including PayPal founder Elon Musk, video game developer John Carmack, and Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen -- have launched similar aerospace ventures.

The graying generation...

A vibrant Irene Sinclair, 96, is the new model for Dove ads in England. She is the poster girl for a graying generation, and a sign that companies are beginning to pay more attention to senior consumers. While Dove's focus on seniors is still the exception rather than the rule, a few other companies are following suit. It's just good business. Frederic Sierriere, head of the SeniorStrategic consulting agency in France, says seniors are "the market of the future." The Christian Science Monitor reports UN Population Fund projections that the proportion of the European population over 65 will grow from 12 percent today to 28.5 percent in 2050.

The balance of power...

David Rothkopf, a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, has written a new book on the American power elite -- Running the World: The Inside Story of the National Security Council and the Architects of American Power (New York: Public Affairs, 2005). Foreign Policy has published an excerpt from the book, which describes the tensions between the old guard (supporters of the policies of former President George H.W. Bush) and the new guard (supporters of the policies of the current President). Rothkopf calls them "traditonalists" and "transformationalists." While the outcome of the battle is still unclear, he says, it will have great consequences for the world.

A new hazard...

Science News reports that nanomaterials may pose a new hazard to human health. Researchers at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston have found that carbon nanotubes create significant lung damage in laboratory animals, and in a few cases have actually caused death. Based on current allowable levels, they say, workers exposed to these materials could receive comparable doses, adjusted for body size, within 17 days.

Nanomaterials have been shown to have other negative effects. A research team at the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health in Morgantown, West Virginia, has observed heart and aortic artery damage in mice exposed to carbon nanotubes. Researchers in Japan and the United States have reported increased susceptibility to blood clotting in rabbits exposed to carbon nanospheres.

Deep uncertainty...

A Scientific American article examines the problem of setting priorities, and defining an optimal course of action, when we are paralyzed by lack of clarity about the future, and complex challenges that are not well understood. The authors have developed new methods for dealing with "deep uncertainy" -- finding strategies that can cope with a broad range of possible outcomes. "Our approach," the authors say, "is to look not for optimal strategies, but for robust ones. A robust strategy performs well when compared with the alternatives across a wide range of plausible futures." To test the approach, they have used it to evaluate alternative strategies for sustainable development.

David Forrest


we welcome your comments and feedback at mail@innovationwatch.com


SCIENCE

Alzheimer's Plaques Imaged in Living Brains - [New Scientist] The hallmark of Alzheimer's disease -- amyloid plaques in the brain -- can be detected in living mice using a new technique based on magnetic resonance imaging. The finding raises the possibility that people without overt symptoms could one day be diagnosed and treated early.

Primitive Brain Is 'Smarter' Than We Think, MIT Study Shows - [Science Daily] Primitive structures deep within the brain may have a far greater role in our high-level everyday thinking processes than previously believed, report researchers at the MIT Picower Center for Learning and Memory.

Einstein's Science Genius Wasn't Just About IQ - [Boston Globe] No one can say whether he was truly the smartest man alive. There certainly were other smart scientists at work at the same time, but Einstein did have a unique vision, a gift for identifying the most important problems in physics, and a dogged determination to keep pursuing them.

Super Telescopes in Space and on the Moon - [Space.com] NASA’s sweeping Moon, Mars and beyond agenda demands a sustained ability to build, deploy, rescue, repair, support and upgrade large and complex systems. In mounting this exploration assault, both human and robot can work together to anchor super-optical systems far from Earth, as well as on that nearby celestial mountaintop -- the Moon.

X Chromosome May Show Gender Differences - [Washington Post] Women get more work out of hundreds of genes on the X chromosome than men do, and that might help explain biological differences between the sexes, a new study says. The results imply that women make higher doses of certain proteins than men do, which might play out in gender differences in both normal life and disease, researchers said.

Mars Colonies Coming Soon? - [National Geographic] As rovers and orbiters continue to scour Mars for more signs of water and the potential for extraterrestrial life, space scientists and enthusiasts are champing at the bit to put humans on the red planet.

Gene Silencing Breakthrough Raises Hope for ALS Treatment - [Daily News Central] Swiss scientists have succeeded in silencing the genetic mutation that causes inherited cases of amytrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), also known as "Lou Gehrig's disease," in experiments conducted with mice. Experiments using RNA interference in transgenic mice (mice bred to express the human ALS gene) substantially delayed both the onset and the progression rate of the fatal motor neuron disease.


TECHNOLOGY

Artificial Antenna Helps ’Cockroach Robot’ Scurry along Walls - [Innovations Report] Can a robot learn to navigate like a cockroach? To help researchers find out if a mechanical device can mimic the pesky insect’s behavior, a Johns Hopkins engineering student has built a flexible, sensor-laden antenna. Like a cockroach’s own wriggly appendage, the artificial antenna sends signals to a wheeled robot’s electronic brain, enabling the machine to scurry along walls, turn corners and avoid obstacles.

Robot on Wheels to Keep Pace with People - [The Australian] Pal and Chum look a little bit like first-graders on wheels, chatting up a storm and racing around the room. For Hitachi Ltd., Japan's biggest electronics conglomerate, they are the next generation of humanoid robots.

Robot Finds Life During Practice for Mars - [MSNBC] A robot laden with sensor equipment has detected life on the arid terrain of the Chilean desert, a first for rover-based systems. Nobody was surprised to find life there, but with the harsh conditions and sparse biological activity, the feat is likened to finding microbial creatures on Mars if any exists there.

Towards a Truly Clever Artificial Intelligence - [Innovations Report] A pioneering new way of creating computer programs could be used in the future to design and build robots with minds that function like that of a human being, according to a leading researcher at The University of Reading.

Pentagon Invests in Unmanned 'Trauma Pod' - [ABC News] The Pentagon is awarding $12 million in grants on Monday to develop an unmanned "trauma pod" designed to use robots to perform full scalpel-and-stitch surgeries on wounded soldiers in battlefield conditions.

IBM Takes New Approach to Spam - [CIO Today] New technology developed by IBM helps filter and block spam by analyzing the true origin of an e-mail. Dubbed FairUCE (fair use of unsolicited commercial e-mail), the new technology uses identity management capabilities built into a network.

A Bold Venture: Creating an 'Electronic Town Square' with Blogs
- [Technology Review] At the News & Record, a 93,000-daily circulation newspaper in Greensboro, reporters and editors are asking tough questions about the paper itself.


BUSINESS AND ECONOMY

West Texas County Abuzz as Bezos Plans Spaceport - [USA Today] Even skeptical locals, who've become wary over the years of city slickers with big ideas for their town, perked up when Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos made his pitch -- a spaceport for commercial travel into the beyond.

Like the US, Mexico Feels Wal-Mart Era - [Christian Science Monitor] Since a consolidation in 1997, Wal-Mart de Mexico SA, or Walmex, the Mexican extension of its Arkansas-based parent, has steadily gobbled up everything in its path, posting soaring numbers -- sales increased 10.5 percent last year -- and pouring piles of cash into growth with trademark intensity. Today, Walmex runs 411 retailers and 285 restaurants, is Mexico's largest private employer, and has the second-highest market capitalization of any company on Mexico's stock exchange.

Asia’s IP Boom - [Red Herring] Asian countries, often derided as technology thieves and copycats, are filing international patents in record numbers, according to figures released by the U.N.’s World Intellectual Property Organization in Geneva. The United States still tops the list of countries putting in new patents, but South Korea and China are gaining ground. Chinese inventors filed 1,782 of the 120,000 patents of 2004, a 38 percent increase over the year before. South Korea boosted its patent count by 20 percent over 2003 with 3,521 applications.

India is 'the Market to Reckon With' for Boeing and Airbus - [Seattle Post-Intelligencer] India has become a major battleground for The Boeing Co. and Airbus, both of which see the world's second-most-populous country as the best market for airplanes after the United States and China over the next two decades. By 2020, the shortage could be more than 10 million workers, according to the Washington trade group, which has more than 14,000 companies as members.

How to Battle the Coming Brain Drain - [Fortune] Older workers are retiring in droves. How do you prevent their crucial knowledge from leaving with them?

Worker Shortage in the Making? - [Milwaukee Journal Sentinel] The United States faces a severe shortage of skilled workers if current employment and job training trends continue, the National Association of Manufacturers said.

Spain Investing Heavily in Brazil - [ABC News] Analysts said the United States should take notice of the effort by Spain to woo Brazil. While no one expects Spain to surpass the United States as Brazil's biggest foreign investor, the Spanish push is likely to pay off with greater access to Brazil's markets.


SOCIETY

Admakers Turn to Europe's Rising Gray Set - [Christian Science Monitor] As baby boomers hit middle age, advertisers are waking up to the fact that there is a lot of money to be made from European consumers nearing retirement age.

How Workers See Their Future - [Scotsman] Over the next 20 years the number of people aged over 60 still in work is set to double, new research showed. A survey of 1,200 adults showed that 22% believed they would be working well into their 60s by the year 2020, more than double the present number.

Guys Just Wanna Be Girls - [J-Marketing] Over the past several decades, Japan's trend-conscious urban youth have spawned subcultures known at bosozoku (biker gangs), "yankees" and "teamers." Writing in Aera, Yukiko Hayami -- a journalist who specializes in reporting on youth culture -- introduces a flamboyant new breed; the first, she says, in which guys mimic the style and makeup of gals.

How the Lines Between Races are Blurring - [Globe and Mail] When the Saloojee family gathers for dinner, their table turns into a miniature United Nations. The parents and their three sons are Indians. The daughters-in-law have Romanian, British and Egyptian backgrounds.

Bad Medicine - [Red Herring] A study published in the leading academic journal PLOS Medicine reports that 15 percent of all drugs sold worldwide are fakes and pose serious health problems for millions of people suffering from AIDS and other illness. The total market in counterfeit medicines is worth $35 billion annually and over half of purchased drugs are fakes in some parts of Africa and Asia.

Dead-End Jobs in Delhi - [C|NET] More than 50 percent of BPO worker respondents to a survey said the main reason for leaving a position was that it is a dead end job. Such dissatisfaction contributes to an attrition rate in Indian call centers that is as high as 40 percent, according to the story.

Michigan May Require Online Dating Checks - [Boston Globe] Some lawmakers say that, as online dating becomes more popular, users need better protection from predators. Twenty-six million people visited dating sites in January, according to the Internet research firm Nielsen/NetRatings.


GLOBAL POLITICS

China Goes Fishing - [Asia Times] China is fast becoming a formidable sea power of the other marine variety. It doesn't yet have monstrous aircraft carriers capable of delivering awesome fire power in the world's seven seas, but there is a huge fleet of small fishing trawlers flying Chinese flags that sail the ocean blue.

European Exchange -- Making the Most of Europes Emerging Markets - [onrec.com] In May 2004 it suddenly became possible for a national of any member state of the European Union to work anywhere across almost the entire continent. An international job market stretching from the Atlantic Coast in Ireland up to the Balkans and down to the Mediterranean has opened up. The legal barriers have gone, but the concern for many employers is that the language barrier still remains.

A Wolf(owitz) at Asia's door? - [International Herald Tribune] The World Bank plans to sell $15 billion in debt this year. With its AAA credit rating, it hopes to scoop up more of the money flowing from Asia into U.S. Treasuries. Such a move would lower the World Bank's borrowing costs and enable it to increase its debt sales if needed to accelerate development and poverty-reduction efforts. Skepticism toward Wolfowitz could limit Asian demand.

UN, Jimmy Carter Say Time Is Ripe to End Hunger - [National Geographic] "Millions of people die annually of hunger and hunger-related diseases, and many millions more suffer needlessly where famine is preventable," Jimmy Carter, 39th President of the United States and 2002 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, told National Geographic News.

Muslim Groups Push for a 'Counter-Jihad' - [Moscow Times] The e-mail messages from Muslims began moments after release of a religious edict condemning al-Qaida. They came from every corner of the world. Soon they were tumbling in too fast to handle.

Inside the Committee that Runs the World - [Foreign Policy] The inner circles of the U.S. national security community—members of the National Security Council (NSC), a select number of their deputies, and a few close advisors to the president—represent what is probably the most powerful committee in the history of the world, one with more resources, more power, more license to act, and more ability to project force further and swifter than any other convened by king, emperor, or president.

Israel in NATO? - [The Globalist] The Middle East peace process still has many hurdles to overcome. Yet, there is already talk from Washington that Israel should join NATO. At first sight, that seems an outlandish suggestion. Christoph Bertram, the Director of the Berlin-based German Institute for International Affairs and Security, provides a European perspective.


ENVIRONMENT

Canada's Shrinking Ice Caps - [Science Daily] Recent research conducted by NASA scientists has revealed that Canada's ice caps and glaciers have important connections to Earth’s changing climate, and they have a strong potential for contributing to sea level rise.

EU Ministers Want Tough Post-Kyoto Emissions Target - [New Zealand Herland] European Union environment ministers on Thursday proposed developed nations make sweeping cuts in their greenhouse gas emissions in the years following 2012, when the first period covered by the Kyoto Protocol ends.

UN Effort Aims to Bring Safe Water to Billions - [Voice of America] Earth may be unique in the universe for its abundance of water, amounting to 70 percent of its surface. But the image recalls the old sailor's lament, "Water, water everywhere, but not a drop to drink," for the vast majority of it is salty and unfit for consumption.

Nano Hazards: Exposure to Minute Particles Harms Lungs, Circulatory System - [Science News] Nanomaterials, the current darlings of industry, are showing up in products ranging from cosmetics to electronics. However, new animal studies indicate that inhaling these microscopic spheres and tubes could cause big trouble, especially for workers who manufacture and handle them.

Battle To Save Great Barrier Reef - [CBS News] Leaf through the latest tomes on the status of coral reefs worldwide and a grim picture emerges. Because of overfishing, soil and nutrient runoff from land, and climate change: A fifth of the reefs - among the planet's most productive habitats - have been destroyed and are not recovering. Another quarter face the threat of imminent collapse from human activities. Another quarter are said to face long-term collapse.

Editors on the Future of Energy - [MSNBC] Experts generally agree that our current reliance on fossil fuels is unsustainable. Clean energy sources like wind and solar power -- not to mention still-unproven hydrogen technology -- are gaining popularity, especially in Western Europe. But even as prices approach $50 a barrel, the alternatives don't yet make enough economic sense to replace oil.

Now, Bioengineered Trees are Taking Root - [Christian Science Monitor] Scattered across at least seven provinces in China are more than 1 million common poplar trees with an uncommon bite. They can kill the insects that nibble their leaves. Their unusual defensive system is a genetically engineered bomb: Bacillus thuringiensis, or Bt, a naturally occurring toxin inserted into the tree's DNA. Other such transgenic species, such as the larch and walnut, are in the works, Chinese researchers report.


THE FUTURE

Shaping the Future - [Scientific American] Scientific uncertainty often becomes an excuse to ignore long-term problems, such as climate change. It doesn't have to be so.


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