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Innovation Watch Newsletter 4.02
January 22, 2005

ISSN: 1712-9834


In this issue...


New frontiers are a recurring theme in this newsletter. While some frontiers offer new opportunities, others represent new threats and challenges for the future.

PhysOrg.com reports on work by Jiali Li, an assistant professor of physics at the University of Arkansas, on the nano-frontier. With her research colleagues, she is fine-tuning a new imaging device -- the nanopore detector -- that is capable of looking at single molecules, and measuring the interactions between molecules.

The BBC reports on new developments in our ability to augment human capabilities. U.S. researchers have created strap-on robotic legs that will allow people to carry heavy loads over long distances. Sensors and hydraulic mechanisms distribute the weight. Funded by the U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the bionic device has been designed for infantry soldiers. It may also be used by firefighters and rescue crews. In a second article, the BBC reports on a new implant that could help stroke patients regain control of their arms.

The commercialization of space is another rapidly approaching frontier. British entrepreneur Richard Branson lost little time launching a new venture after the successful suborbital flights of SpaceShipOne. Virgin Galactic has ordered five next-generation vehicles capable of carrying five to eight passengers into space. The anticipated cost per passenger will be around $200,000.

In society, we will test other limits. The New York Times says population experts believe increasing life expectancies will further erode the financial viability of the U.S. Social Security system. Social Security trustees project that life expectancy in America will increase to 83 in 2075, while the Census Bureau expects this milestone will be achieved 25 years sooner. The International Herald Tribune reports on a growing trend towards "active retirement," as more people extend their working life.

Foreign Policy examines the hidden costs of restrictions on the free movement of people and goods, in the global fight against terrorism. New barriers, it says, will have wide-ranging impacts on our interconnected world.

Even physical frontiers are changing. The BBC reports that permafrost is thawing in Alaska, northern Canada and Siberia, and at higher elevations in the Alps and Tibet. Monitoring programs like the Global Terrestrial Network for Permafrost (GTNP) show ground temperatures are warming throughout the permafrost zone. Houses and buildings are leaning in some areas of Fairbanks, Alaska, as the ground melts underneath them. Changes to the city's building codes will be required if the thaw continues.

In the closing section of this newsletter, we link to a report published by the First Committee of United Nations General Assembly, titled Converging Technologies: The Future of the Global Information Society. Chair Christopher Altman, writes about the convergence of information technology, biotechnology and nanotechnology; the growing threat of information warfare; and future consequences for world security.

David Forrest


we welcome your comments and feedback at mail@innovationwatch.com


SCIENCE

Device to Probe Limits of Physics - [BBC] UK physicists have completed the first crucial element of an experimental device designed to probe the forces that shape our Universe.

A Rain Forest Debate: Could It Have Been Home to Complex Societies? - [Boston Globe] For much of the last half-century, archeologists have viewed the South American rain forest as a ''counterfeit paradise" whose inhospitable environment precluded the development of complex societies. But new research suggests that prehistoric people found ways to overcome the jungle's natural limitations and thrive in large numbers.

Researchers Discovered that Humans are a ’Privileged’ Evolutionary Lineage - [Innovations Report] The genes that regulate brain development and function evolved much more rapidly in humans than in nonhuman primates and other mammals because of natural selection processes unique to the human lineage.

First Americans May Have Come From Australia - [Discover] Scientists believed the Siberian forebears of Native Americans arrived 9,000 years ago, at the end of the last ice age. But Peñon Woman III could help prove that the first Americans came from Australia much earlier.

Geographer of the Male Genome - [Scientific American] The notion of the Y sex chromosome as a genetic wasteland still entices biologists. David C. Page has spent a good part of his career knocking down that myth.

Sightings of "Newborn" Galaxies Reveal a Fecund Universe - [Scientific American] The first data returned by NASA's Galaxy Evolution Explorer spacecraft (GALEX) suggests that our Universe is still quite fertile. Observations of newborn galaxies indicate that the universe is still alive with youth and not suffering from as big a decline in its galactic birthrate as previously believed.

Tiny Holes Offer Giant Glimpse into Future - [PhysOrg] Miniscule holes in a single molecule detector being developed at the University of Arkansas may hold the key to enormous advancements in the medical and biological sciences.


TECHNOLOGY

China Launches Next-Generation Internet - [CIO Today] China says it will launch the first Internet Protocol Version 6 network. CERNET2 initially links 25 universities in 20 cities, with plans to expand to 100 universities. IPv6 greatly expands the number of available IP addresses, overcoming a potential shortcoming of current Internet technology.

Japan's 'Smart' Transport Systems Taking the Slow Road - [Boston Globe] Japan has some of the most congested, confusing, and cramped streets in the world. It also boasts some of the latest technology in zapping computerized data to millions of cars, delivering what may be the world's smartest way to drive.

Eyeing the Future of Ubiquitous Computing - [PhysOrg] A future in which computers become pervasive, unobtrusive and almost invisible is being brought a step closer by EYES, an IST programme-funded project addressing many of the challenges of creating the sensor networks needed to make ubiquitous computing an everyday reality.

GPS Goes Down on the Farm - [MSNBC] Aided by a computer and a Global Positioning System -- a constellation of Earth-orbiting satellites -- a farmer's tractor can now drive itself.

Sensor Network Mimics Synchronized Calling By Frogs, Cicadas - [Science Daily] The modern world is filled with the uncoordinated beeping and buzzing of countless electronic devices. So it was only a matter of time before someone designed an electronic network with the ability to synchronize dozens of tiny buzzers, in much the same way that frogs and cicadas coordinate their night-time choruses.

Bionic Legs Give Soldiers a Boost - [BBC] US researchers have developed strap-on robotic legs to allow people to carry heavy loads over long distances.

Tests of Bionic Arm Implant Start - [BBC] A tiny electrical implant which could help stroke patients to regain control of their arms is to be tested in humans for the first time.


BUSINESS AND ECONOMY

Can a Beer from Brazil Go Global? - [International Herald Tribune] InBev, formed in the merger this year of Interbrew of Belgium and AmBev of Brazil, is drawing up plans to turn Brahma, a popular Brazilian beer, into something that doesn't exist yet in the beer industry: a truly global brand.

New Emerging Trends in India, China - [The Economic Times] The transformation of India Inc and China Inc is happening simultaneously, and at a time when both the India story and China story are fast gaining currency in the world of business as countries to watch out for.

Calls Grow to Tax Airlines for Pollution - [Deutsche Welle] Air travel has increased five fold since 1970, with much of that growth taking place in the last few years due to the exploding popularity of budget airlines. Germany's green lobby has little doubt that the no-frills travel boom is the country's number one climate killer.

China's Big Deals: Should We Worry? - [Business Week] There's a worldwide yard sale going on. Multinational corporations are starting to sell off big-name brands to Chinese companies.

A Hurting Dollar Pains the World - [Business Week] The problem of America's huge deficit in its balance of payments (which measures the country's economic transactions with the rest of the world, including both goods and services) is growing. Moreover, prospects for quick improvement are bleak. The usual market cure for a large deficit is a currency decline.

Shaping the Future of Manufacturing - [Industry Week] A tour through manufacturing's recent history reveals clues of what's to come.

Virgin Soars Towards New Frontier - [BBC] The partnership that built SpaceShipOne, Mojave Aerospace Ventures, has its first paying customer: Sir Richard Branson. The British tycoon and flamboyant chief of the Virgin Group in London has ordered a fleet of spaceliners to carry passengers beyond the atmosphere.


SOCIETY

Muslims, Europe Search for Balance - [Detroit Free Press] For the first time in history, Muslims are building large and growing minorities across the secular Western world -- nowhere more visibly than in Western Europe, where their numbers have more than doubled in the past two decades.

Social Security Underestimates Future Life Spans, Critics Say - [The Ledger] When the federal government assesses the long-term financial problems of Social Security, it assumes that increases in life expectancy will be slow and measured. But many population experts say they believe that Americans' life expectancy will increase rapidly in the 21st century, making the program's financial problems even worse.

The New Military and the Gaming Generation - [Globe and Mail] Soon after the battle for Fallujah ended in November, US Marines brought their Xbox consoles, Gameboys and laptops forward and started fighting the Covenant hordes in Halo, Mario and Luigi's worst enemies and those irksome roommates from The Sims.

California Must Keep Its Edge: Higher Education Needs Active Support - [San Francisco Chronicle] California has cut funding and raised fees at its state universities for four straight years, making it difficult for UC to compete for the best students both in the United States and abroad.

Working Longer, Whether You Like It or Not - [International Herald Tribune] As societies grapple with how to maintain financing for retirement amid slumping markets and shrinking savings, one solution is gaining favor: having people work longer, either by extending the retirement age or by creating meaningful work for retirees.

Rich College, Poor College - [Business Week] With an endowment of $3.6 billion under his control and a faculty that boasts seven Nobel laureates, University of Chicago President Don M. Randel should feel on top of the world. But from his office in the heart of Chicago's neo-gothic campus, Randel spends a lot of his time fretting about the university's future.

Nordic Family Ties Don't Mean Tying the Knot - [USA Today] In Norway, half of all children are now born to unmarried mothers... 82% of couples have their first child out of wedlock. The numbers are similarly high for Sweden and Denmark. While many couples marry after having the first or second child, it's clear marriage in parts of Scandinavia is dying.


GLOBAL POLITICS

A Time of Testing for Global Democracy - [Christian Science Monitor] Votes this month could mark advances in the Middle East, but history shows that democracy requires time, commitment.

Russia, China Plan Military Drills - [London Free Press] Russia and China will hold unprecedented joint military manoeuvres on Chinese territory next year involving both nations' air forces and navies, Russia's defence minister said.

Democracy in the Former Soviet Union: 1991-2004 - [Eurasianet] Over the last decade and a half, an unprecedented initiative has taken place in the Former Soviet Union (F.S.U.). In all 15 republics that made up the U.S.S.R., the introduction of Western-style liberal democracy and its principles became the dominant political modus operandi since 1991.

The Cost of Living Dangerously - [Foreign Policy] Can the global economy absorb the expenses of fighting terrorism?

Magic, or Realism? - [The Economist] China and Latin America can help each other, though some claims made for the “China effect” are more fantasy than fact.

The Democratization of Europe - [Project Syndicate] Although Europe is more a space governed by a shared rule of law than an expression of a unitary political will, it is currently becoming the greatest economic power in the world.

A Reluctant Embrace - [YaleGlobal] After expansion from 15 to 25 states this year, Europe's embrace of Turkey will mark a key turning point in the evolution of the Union from a wealthy and exclusively Christian club into a vast and diverse multi-religious bloc stretching to the frontiers of Iraq and Syria.


ENVIRONMENT

Wolves' Genetic Diversity Worryingly Low - [New Scientist] Wolf eradication in the US has had a far more devastating impact on the genetic diversity of remaining populations than previously thought, a new study reveals.

Earth's Permafrost Starts to Squelch - [BBC] In addition to northern Alaska, the permafrost zone includes most other Arctic land, such as northern Canada and much of Siberia, as well as the higher reaches of mountainous regions such as the Alps and Tibet. All report permafrost thaw.

The Hydrogen Economy - [Physics Today] If the fuel cell is to become the modern steam engine, basic research must provide breakthroughs in understanding, materials, and design to make a hydrogen-based energy system a vibrant and competitive force.

Steam Engines Could Be Eco Hope - [BBC] Steam-powered vehicles are not usually deemed as being parked at the cutting edge of transport technology.

Better Homes and Garbage - [Sierra] In Bill Dunster's London-area housing development, residents tread lightly without even trying.

Clean the Ganges - [EcoWorld] Religion and science join forces to save the greatest river on earth.

Pollutants Feared to Suppress Male Characteristics - [India News] Pollutants such as DDT and dioxins are feared to have caused sex ratio alterations in Italy and Russia through suppression of male characteristics, a US scientist said.


THE FUTURE

Converging Technologies: The Future of the Global Information Society - [Christopher Altman, Chairman, UNISCA First Committee on Disarmament and International Security] The complex web of the global information grid will undergo explosive changes over coming decades. As advances in science and technology converge, a myriad array of discoveries in biotechnology, nanotechnology and information technology will produce unpredictable effects that must be accounted for in any estimate of what the world will look like in this future. A strategically important feature of this world will be the emerging trend of information warfare.


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