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The last ten years have seen the relatively stable postwar international
system enter a period of uncertain, and possibly explosive, political change.
Given the far-reaching shifts in the international distribution of power, the
startling rise of new socioeconomic political forces, and the global realignment
of diplomatic relations, it is more important than ever to understand the dynamics
of the international system. War and Change in World
Politics introduces the reader to an important new theory of international
political change -- a conceptual framework that could transform the way we think
about international relations. Arguing that the fundamental nature of international
relations has not changed over the millennia, Professor Gilpin uses history, sociology,
and economic theory to identify the forces causing change in the world order.
The discussion focuses on the differential growth of power in the international
system and the result of this unevenness. A shift in the balance of power -- economic
or military -- weakens the foundations of the existing system, because those gaining
power see the increasing benefits and the decreasing cost of changing the system.
The result, maintains Gilpin, is that actors seek to alter the system through
territorial, political, or economic expansion until the marginal costs of continuing
change are greater than the marginal benefits. When states develop the power to
change the system according to their interests they will strive to so so -- either
by increasing economic efficiency and maximizing mutual gain, or by redistributing
wealth and power in their favor. Although Professor Gilpin
makes no claim to have discovered any global "laws of change," he does
argue that the major turning points of international history exhibit recurrent
patterns and general tendencies from which a model of international change can
be constructed. No matter what the level of technological prowess or economic
power, world politics is still characterized by the struggle of independent nation-states
for power, prestige, and wealth in a condition of global anarchy. The fundamental
problem of international relations continues to be resolving the consequences
of uneven growth of power among states. The danger of war and violence remains
a serious possibility as the world moves from the decay of one international system
toward the creation of another. War and Change in
World Politics offers a new way of thinking about international relations.
Through this framework for analysis, Professor Gilpin establishes the basis for
greatly improved understanding of political change. It will help us to assess
the shifts in power and the inevitable stresses of the next decade that arise
from the interaction between the great powers and the growing powers in the world.
Robert G. Gilpin, Jr. is Eisenhower Professor of International
Affairs at Princeton University. His previous books are U.S. Power and the
Multinational Corporation: The Political Economy of Direct Foreign Investment,
France in the Age of the Scientific State, and American Scientists
and Nuclear Weapons Policy. |
