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Waves of Power: The Dynamics of Global Technology Leadership 1964-2010
by David C. Moschella

New York: American Management Association, 1997

This vital book takes you deep inside the world's largest and fastest-moving industry.

We're talking, of course, about information technology (IT) and the coming trillion-dollar convergence of the 4 Cs -- computers, communications, consumer electronics, and content. As these mega-industries collide, the resulting opportunities and turbulence will make the personal computer revolution look like a warm-up act.

David Moschella, Computerworld columnist and recognized authority on global technology competition, provides a far-reaching analysis of these "big picture" changes. In plain language, he makes sense of the crazy-quilt growth of recent times, and orients you to the dizzying world in which you must compete.

"During the 1980s, the IT industry's center of gravity shifted from mainframes to PCs," says Moschella. "Today, the PC is giving way to a new network-centric era. Network capacity has already replaced microprocessor performance as the key market driver."

Over the next decade, radical changes in technology use, international competitiveness, and underlying industry structure will render today's global computer business almost unrecognizable. As the 4 Cs come together, a wave of mergers, acquisitions, and alliances will dwarf anything the IT community has ever experienced. Eventually, there will be huge successes and failures, but it will take a decade or more for a truly converged industry to emerge.

This major industry restructuring will affect virtually every technology company. Just as the personal computer enabled Microsoft and Intel to wrest industry leadership from IBM, so will the network-centric era create new sources of supplier market power. Owners of communications infrastructure and providers of network content and services will drive the IT industry much more than any underlying components -- even software. These network services will vary greatly by country, challenging today's U.S. technology dominance.

How prepared are you and your organization for these profound industry changes? Waves of Power surfs the future of technology to answer the questions you should be asking right now:

  • How will the IT industry of the 21st century be organized?
  • Who, if anyone, will control the Internet?
  • Which market sectors will emerge as the new centers of leverage and power?
  • How will the competitive landscape change?
  • Can US companies maintain their current global market dominance? Which countries will benefit most from the coming convergence?

The convergence of computers, communications, consumer electronics, and content is fundamentally altering the way the world works. Waves of Power puts the juggernaut into a far-reaching framework, helping your organization fit and prosper into the 21st century.

David C. Moschella (Framingham, Massachusetts) is senior vice president of research and a regular columnist for Computerworld, the premier newspaper of the information technology industry. He has analyzed cutting-edge technology issues, trends, and events throughout his career and has held executive positions at International Data Group (IDG) and International Data Corporation, the leading information technology research and consulting company. A frequent industry speaker and commentator, Moschella has consulted with technology strategists in more than 30 countries.

 
   
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